UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 12

The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (6-10, 2-5 Southland) visit the Northwestern State Demons (5-11, 3-4 Southland) at Prather Coliseum, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 12, 2026. The Vaqueros are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 143.5.

Last time out, UT Rio Grande Valley lost 77-69 to East Texas A&M on Saturday. Filip Brankovic totaled 16 points, seven rebounds and zero assists for UT Rio Grande Valley. Northwestern State enters this matchup after a 79-78 victory against Texas A&M-CC on Saturday. Micah Thomas scored a team-leading 20 points for Northwestern State in the win.

UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, January 12, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Prather Coliseum in Natchitoches, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -156
• Moneyline underdog: Northwestern State +130
• Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• Eight of UT Rio Grande Valley's games this season have gone over Monday's over/under of 143.5 points.
• This season, 10 games Northwestern State has played finished with a combined score over 143.5 points.
• The Vaqueros average 75.1 points per game against the Demons' 72.9, amounting to 4.5 points over the contest's point total of 143.5.
• This game's over/under is 5.4 less than the 148.9 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• UT Rio Grande Valley has seen a 146.0 average over/under in its games this season, 2.5 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• Northwestern State's games have an average over/under of 150.9 points this season, 7.4 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• In UT Rio Grande Valley's 14 games this season, it has six wins against the spread.
• The Vaqueros have been favored by 2.5 points or more six times this season and covered the spread in one of them.
• Northwestern State has played 14 games, with eight wins against the spread.
• This year, the Demons have an against-the-spread record of 7-6 in their 13 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• At home this year, Northwestern State is 3-2 against the spread and 2-3 overall.
• On the road, UT Rio Grande Valley is 2-6 overall and 4-4 against the spread.
• UT Rio Grande Valley is winless ATS (0-1) as 2.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• This season, UT Rio Grande Valley has won two out of the seven games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Vaqueros are 1-4 this season when entering a game favored by -156 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UT Rio Grande Valley has a 60.9% chance to win.
• Northwestern State has been victorious in three, or 21.4%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Demons have a mark of 2-11 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of +130 or worse on the moneyline.
• Northwestern State has an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• Pick ATS: UT Rio Grande Valley (- 2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (143.5)
  
• Prediction: UT Rio Grande Valley 81 - Northwestern State 72