UT Arlington vs. Missouri State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 15

The UT Arlington Mavericks (2-1) host the Missouri State Bears (2-1) at College Park Center, tipping off at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The Mavericks are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 146.5.

In its last time out, UT Arlington won on Monday 117-61 over Arlington Baptist. Raysean Seamster totaled 19 points, three rebounds and two assists for UT Arlington. Missouri State is coming off of an 86-85 loss to Arkansas State in its last game on Tuesday. Michael Osei-Bonsu scored 21 points in Missouri State's loss, leading the team.

UT Arlington vs. Missouri State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: College Park Center in Arlington, Texas
• Spread favorite: UT Arlington -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Arlington -164
• Moneyline underdog: Missouri State +137
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch UT Arlington vs. Missouri State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Arlington vs. Missouri State

• Of 29 games last year, UT Arlington played 14 with over 146.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total.
• Missouri State's games went over 146.5 total points scored in seven of 31 matchups last season.
• The two teams averaged a combined 4.2 fewer points per game (142.3) a season ago than this game's total of 146.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 0.8 fewer points per game (145.7) last season than this matchup's total of 146.5 points.
• The average total UT Arlington had set in matchups last year was 2.6 more points than this outing's point total.
• The average over/under in Missouri State's games in 2024 was 7.7 fewer points than the point total of 146.5 for this game.

Betting the Spread: UT Arlington vs. Missouri State

• UT Arlington won 14 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 15 times.
• The Mavericks covered the spread four times last season (4-6 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Missouri State covered 17 times in 31 games with a spread last year.
• When playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs last season, the Bears had an ATS record of 9-5.
• At home last year, UT Arlington was 5-6 against the spread and 7-4 overall.
• At home last season, as a 3.5-point favorite or greater, UT Arlington had two wins ATS (2-4).
• Last year away from home, Missouri State was 8-5 against the spread and 1-12 overall.
• Missouri State was winless ATS (0-1) on the road as a 3.5-point underdog or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Arlington vs. Missouri State

• UT Arlington won seven of the 11 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (63.6%).
• The Mavericks had a 7-3 record last year (winning 70% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -164 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives UT Arlington a 62.1% chance to win.
• Last season, Missouri State was the underdog 22 times and won four, or 18.2%, of those games.
• The Bears had a record of 2-12, a 14.3% win rate, when they were set as an underdog of +137 or more by sportsbooks last season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 42.2% chance of a victory for Missouri State.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UT Arlington vs. Missouri State

• Pick ATS: UT Arlington (- 3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (146.5)
  
• Prediction: UT Arlington 74 - Missouri State 68