UCSD vs. Long Beach State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 5

The UCSD Tritons (15-8, 5-6 Big West) host the Long Beach State Beach (8-15, 4-7 Big West) at LionTree Arena, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 5, 2026. The Beach are 8.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5 points.

UCSD enters this matchup after an 81-64 loss to CSU Northridge on Saturday. Hudson Mayes' team-high 11 points paced UCSD in the loss. Long Beach State's most recent contest was an 89-82 loss to Hawaii on Saturday. Shaquil Bender's team-high 22 points paced Long Beach State in the losing effort.

UCSD vs. Long Beach State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: LionTree Arena in San Diego, California
• Spread favorite: UCSD -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCSD -474
• Moneyline underdog: Long Beach State +355
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch UCSD vs. Long Beach State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCSD vs. Long Beach State

• UCSD and its opponents have combined to exceed Thursday's over/under of 144.5 points 14 times this season.
• This season, 14 of Long Beach State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 144.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 152 points per game, 7.5 points more than the point total of 144.5 for this game.
• These two teams give up a combined 148 points per game, 3.5 more than this contest's over/under.
• On average, UCSD has had a 148.3-point over/under in its games this season, 3.8 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Long Beach State's games have an average over/under of 151.6 points this season, 7.1 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: UCSD vs. Long Beach State

• UCSD has 11 wins against the spread in 21 games this year.
• The Tritons have been favored by 8.5 points or more six times this season and covered the spread in one of them.
• Long Beach State has 12 wins against the spread in 21 games this year.
• So far this season, the Beach have been installed as underdogs by an 8.5-point margin or more seven times and are 5-2 ATS in those games.
• At home this year, UCSD is 3-5 overall and 3-5 against the spread.
• At home, as a 8.5-point favorite or more, UCSD is winless ATS (0-2).
• Long Beach State is 1-10 overall, and 5-6 against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: UCSD vs. Long Beach State

• UCSD has won 11, or 61.1%, of the 18 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Tritons have a record of 2-2 when favored by -474 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• UCSD has a 82.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Long Beach State has been a moneyline underdog in 16 games this season and has come away with the win two times (12.5%) in those contests.
• This season, the Beach have been a moneyline underdog of -474 or more six times, losing every contest.
• Long Beach State has an implied victory probability of 22% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UCSD vs. Long Beach State

• Pick ATS: Long Beach State (+ 8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (144.5)
  
• Prediction: Long Beach State 76 - UCSD 75