UCSD vs. Fresno State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 12

The UCSD Tritons (2-0) visit the Fresno State Bulldogs (2-1) at Save Mart Center, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 12, 2025. The Tritons are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 151.5 points.

In its most recent game on Saturday, UCSD claimed a 78-60 win over Houston Christian. Tom Beattie recorded 18 points, six rebounds and four assists for UCSD. Fresno State heads into this game following an 82-62 victory over Long Beach State on Saturday. Jake Heidbreder scored a team-best 24 points for Fresno State in the victory.

UCSD vs. Fresno State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, November 12, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Save Mart Center in Fresno, California
• Spread favorite: UCSD -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCSD -111
• Moneyline underdog: Fresno State -109
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch UCSD vs. Fresno State

• TV Channel: MW Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCSD vs. Fresno State

• UCSD played eight games with more than 151.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, last season.
• A total of 17 Fresno State's games last season (out of 32) had more than 151.5 total points scored.
• These two teams averaged a combined 150 points per game a season ago, 1.5 fewer points than the over/under of 151.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 9.0 fewer points per game (142.5) last season than this matchup's total of 151.5 points.
• The average total UCSD had set in matchups last year was 10.4 fewer points than this outing's point total.
• The average point total for Fresno State in 2024 was 0.1 points lower than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: UCSD vs. Fresno State

• UCSD went 25-8-0 ATS last season.
• The Tritons covered the spread 18 times last season (18-7 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• Fresno State won 16 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover or pushing 16 times.
• The Bulldogs covered the spread 14 times last year (14-12-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• At home last year, Fresno State was 5-9 overall and 9-3-2 against the spread.
• At home last season, Fresno State had two wins ATS (2-1-1) as a 1.5-point underdog or greater.
• Last year in away games, UCSD was 11-3 against the spread and 12-2 overall.
• UCSD went 7-3 ATS as a 1.5-point favorite or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: UCSD vs. Fresno State

• UCSD won 88% of the games last season in which it was favored on the moneyline (22-3).
• The Tritons went 22-3 last year (winning 88% of their games) when they played as a moneyline favorite of -111 or shorter.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, UCSD's implied win probability is 52.6%.
• Fresno State was an underdog 28 times last season and won twice.
• The Bulldogs had a record of 2-26, a 7.1% win rate, when they were set as an underdog of -109 or more by bookmakers last season.
• Fresno State has a 52.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.