Texas State vs. UTSA Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 12

The Texas State Bobcats (1-2) host the UTSA Roadrunners (1-1) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 12, 2025. The Roadrunners are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 147.5.

Texas State is coming off of a 79-71 loss to Tulane in its most recent outing on Saturday. DJ Hall put up 14 points, seven rebounds and three assists for Texas State. UTSA heads into this matchup after a 77-60 loss to SIU-Edwardsville on Friday. Jamir Simpson's team-high 16 points paced UTSA in the losing effort.

Texas State vs. UTSA Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, November 12, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas State -115
• Moneyline underdog: UTSA -105
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Texas State vs. UTSA

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas State vs. UTSA

• Texas State's games finished over 147.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, 13 times (out of 30) last season.
• UTSA's games went over 147.5 total points scored in 20 of 29 matchups last season.
• These two teams averaged a combined 152.9 points per game a season ago, 5.4 more points than the over/under of 147.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 2.6 more points per game last season (150.1) than this matchup's over/under of 147.5 points.
• Texas State's average point total in matchups last year was 149.5, 2.0 points higher than the total in this game.
• The average over/under in UTSA's games in 2024 was 6.0 more points than the point total of 147.5 in this outing.

Betting the Spread: Texas State vs. UTSA

• Texas State compiled a 14-16-0 ATS record last year.
• The Bobcats were favored by 1.5 points or more 15 times last season, and covered the spread in eight of those matchups.
• UTSA compiled a 16-13-0 record against the spread last year.
• The Roadrunners covered the spread 13 times last year (13-7 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• Texas State was 8-4 overall, and 6-6 against the spread, at home last season.
• Last year, as a 1.5-point favorite or more at home, Texas State was 5-4 ATS.
• UTSA was 4-11 overall, and 9-6 against the spread, on the road last season.
• On the road, UTSA had two wins ATS (2-1) as a 1.5-point underdog or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas State vs. UTSA

• Texas State won 66.7% of the games last season in which it was the moneyline favorite (10-5).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter, the Bobcats went 10-5 (66.7%).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, Texas State's implied win probability is 53.5%.
• Last season, UTSA was the underdog 19 times and won four, or 21.1%, of those games.
• Last season, the Roadrunners won four of their 19 games, or 21.1%, when they were an underdog by at least -105 on the moneyline.
• UTSA has a 51.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.