Texas State vs. Texas Southern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 15

The Texas State Bobcats (2-2) host the Texas Southern Tigers (0-3) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center, tipping off at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The Bobcats are 6.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under is set at 149.5 for the matchup.

Texas State took care of business in its last outing 80-69 against UTSA on Wednesday. Dimp Pernell scored a team-leading 19 points for Texas State in the win. Texas Southern's most recent game was a 93-90 overtime loss to Samford on Wednesday. Troy Hupstead scored 25 points in Texas Southern's loss, leading the team.

Texas State vs. Texas Southern Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas State -310
• Moneyline underdog: Texas Southern +245
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch Texas State vs. Texas Southern

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas State vs. Texas Southern

• Texas State played 12 games with over 149.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, last year.
• A total of 10 Texas Southern's games last season (out of 30) had more than 149.5 total points scored.
• The two teams averaged a combined 0.6 fewer points per game (148.9) a season ago than this matchup's over/under of 149.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams averaged a combined 145.4 points per game last season, 4.1 fewer than the over/under for this game.
• The average point total for Texas State's games last year was the same as the total of 149.5 in this matchup.
• The average over/under for Texas Southern's games in 2024 was 4.7 fewer points than the point total of 149.5 in this game.

Betting the Spread: Texas State vs. Texas Southern

• Texas State put together a 14-16-0 ATS record last year.
• The Bobcats covered the spread five times last season (5-4 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
• Texas Southern covered 13 times in 30 matchups with a spread last year.
• The Tigers were an underdog by 6.5 points or more 10 times last season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
• At home last season, Texas State was 6-6 against the spread and 8-4 overall.
• Texas State was 4-3 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or more at home last year.
• Texas Southern was 7-11 against the spread, and 6-12 overall, in away games last season.
• Texas Southern had two wins ATS (2-1) on the road as a 6.5-point underdog or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas State vs. Texas Southern

• Texas State put together a 10-5 record in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 66.7% of those games).
• The Bobcats had a record of 6-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -310 or shorter (85.7%).
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives Texas State a 75.6% chance to win.
• Texas Southern was underdogs in 17 games last season and won three (17.6%) of those contests.
• Last season, the Tigers were at least a +245 underdog on the moneyline nine times, losing each of those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Texas Southern has a 29.0% chance to win.