Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 21

The Texas A&M Aggies (14-4, 4-1 SEC) host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-8, 2-3 SEC) at Reed Arena, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 21, 2026. The Bulldogs are 8.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total for the matchup is 163.5.

Texas A&M won its most recent matchup 74-70 against Texas on Saturday. Rashaun Agee scored a team-best 17 points for Texas A&M in the win. Mississippi State is coming off of a 68-67 loss to Ole Miss in its most recent outing on Saturday. Jayden Epps' team-leading 14 points paced Mississippi State in the loss.

Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Reed Arena in College Station, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas A&M -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas A&M -402
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi State +312
• Over/Under: 163.5 points

How to watch Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State

• This season, Texas A&M and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total of 163.5 points 11 times.
• Six of Mississippi State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 163.5 points this season.
• The total for the game of 163.5 is 7.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Aggies (91.9) and Bulldogs (79.4).
• This matchup's over/under is 8.5 fewer points than the 155 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Texas A&M has a 169.5 average over/under in its games this season, 6.0 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Mississippi State's games have an average over/under of 156.8 points this season, 6.7 points lower than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State

• Texas A&M has 11 wins against the spread in 18 games this season.
• The Aggies have an ATS record of 5-4 in their nine games when favored by 8.5 points or more so far this season.
• In Mississippi State's 18 games this season, it has six wins against the spread.
• The Bulldogs have been underdogs by 8.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
• At home this season, Texas A&M is 10-1 overall and 6-5 against the spread.
• Texas A&M is 5-4 ATS as a 8.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Mississippi State has two wins against the spread, and are 2-1 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State

• This season, Texas A&M has won eight out of the 11 games, or 72.7%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Aggies have entered six games this season favored by -402 or more and are 5-1 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Texas A&M has a 80.1% chance to win.
• Mississippi State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in four games this year and has walked away with the win one time (25%) in those games.
• The Bulldogs have been listed as an underdog of +312 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Mississippi State has a 24.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+ 8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (163.5)
  
• Prediction: Texas A&M 80 - Mississippi State 75