Tempo vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 27

The Phoenix Mercury (6-13) will look to Kahleah Copper (sixth in WNBA, 19.7 points per game) to help overcome Marina Mabrey (third in league, 21.2) and the Toronto Tempo (9-9) on Saturday, June 27, 2026 at Scotiabank Arena, at 2 p.m. ET on CBS, Paramount+, and TSN.

Toronto enters this contest after a 125-97 win against Los Angeles. The Tempo's leading scorer was Mabrey, who ended the game with 53 points and six rebounds.

Phoenix won on the road over Indiana, 111-109, in its last game. Its top scorers were Copper (28 PTS, 60 FG%) and Alyssa Thomas (24 PTS, 8 AST, 70.6 FG%).

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Tempo vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Tempo-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Tempo (-3.5)
• Total: 177.5
• Tempo Moneyline: -170
• Mercury Moneyline: +138

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Tempo Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Tempo have an implied win probability of 63.0%.
• Toronto has been a moneyline favorite seven times this season. They've gone 5-2 in those games.
• The Tempo have compiled an 11-7-0 record against the spread this season.
• Toronto's 18 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 177.5 points 12 times.
• The Tempo have had an average of 172.0 points in their games this season, 5.5 fewer than this matchup's total.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Mercury based on the moneyline is 42.0%.
• Phoenix has won three, or 23.1%, of the 13 games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Mercury have covered seven times in 19 matchups with a spread this season.
• Phoenix has played five games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 177.5 points.
• Mercury games this season have had an average of 168.5 points, 9.0 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Tempo vs. Mercury

• The 91.4 points per game Toronto averages are only 4.2 more points than Phoenix allows (87.2).
• When the Tempo put up more than 87.2 points, they are 7-2.
• Toronto has scored at a lower rate at home than on the road in the 2026 season (89.6 points per game at home versus 92.8 on the road), and has allowed fewer points in home games than on the road (85.1 per home game versus 97.6 on the road).
• Phoenix puts up an average of 83.7 points per game, 8.4 fewer points than the 92.1 Toronto allows.
• The Mercury have gone 3-1 when they've scored more than 92.1 points.
• At home Phoenix scores 87.6 points per game, 6.8 more than away (80.8). Defensively, it gives up 93.4 points per game at home, 10.8 more than away (82.6).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.