Tempo vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 27

The Phoenix Mercury (6-13) will look to Kahleah Copper (sixth in WNBA, 19.7 points per game) to help knock off Marina Mabrey (third in league, 21.2) and the Toronto Tempo (9-9) on Saturday, June 27, 2026 at Scotiabank Arena, at 2 p.m. ET on CBS, Paramount+, and TSN.

Toronto, led by Mabrey with 13 points and six rebounds, picked up a 125-97 victory versus Los Angeles in their last game. Maria Conde added 13 points and seven rebounds.

In its most recent game, Phoenix won on the road over Indiana, 111-109. Its top scorers were Copper (28 PTS, 60 FG%) and Alyssa Thomas (24 PTS, 8 AST, 70.6 FG%).

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Tempo vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Tempo-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Tempo (-5.5)
• Total: 176.5
• Tempo Moneyline: -240
• Mercury Moneyline: +190

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Tempo Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Tempo's implied win probability is 70.6%.
• Toronto has been favored on the moneyline seven times this season. They've gone 5-2 in those games.
• The Tempo are 11-7-0 ATS this season.
• In 12 games this season, Toronto and its opponents have scored more than 176.5 combined points.
• Tempo games this season have had an average of 172.0 points, 4.5 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mercury have a 34.5% chance to win.
• This season, Phoenix has won three out of the 13 games, or 23.1%, in which it has been the underdog.
• The Mercury are 7-12-0 ATS this season.
• Phoenix has played five games this season that finished with a combined score over 176.5 points.
• Mercury games this season have had an average of 168.5 points, 8.0 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Tempo vs. Mercury

• Toronto records only 4.2 more points per game (91.4) than Phoenix allows (87.2).
• When the Tempo put up more than 87.2 points, they are 7-2.
• Toronto has scored at a lower clip when playing at home than away from home in the 2026 season (89.6 points per game at home versus 92.8 on the road), and has allowed fewer points in home games than in road games (85.1 per home game versus 97.6 on the road).
• Phoenix scores 8.4 fewer points per game (83.7) than Toronto give up (92.1).
• The Mercury have put together a 3-1 record in games when they've scored more than 92.1 points.
• At home Phoenix scores 87.6 points per game, 6.8 more than away (80.8). Defensively, it allows 93.4 points per game at home, 10.8 more than away (82.6).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.