Rays vs. Yankees Game 1 of the ALDS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 3

The Tampa Bay Rays will host the New York Yankees in the opening game of the ALDS at 6:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. Drew Rasmussen (16-5, 2.67 ERA) gets the start for the Rays, and Gerrit Cole (10-9, 3.61 ERA) is expected to start for the Yankees.

The Rays (-138) are moneyline favorites at home over the Yankees (+114). The total in this contest is 7.

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field
• Favorite: Rays (-138)
• Underdog: Yankees (+114)
• Over/under: 7

How to Watch Rays vs. Yankees

• TV Channel: truTV, TBS and HBO Max
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Rays vs. Yankees: Betting the Moneyline

• The Rays have compiled a 67-37 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 64.4% of those games).
• New York has been pegged as an underdog in 32 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (50%) in those games.
• Tampa Bay is 39-19 this season when entering a game favored by -138 or more on the moneyline.
• This season, the Yankees have been victorious six times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or longer on the moneyline.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Rays have an implied win probability of 58%.
• The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Rays vs. Yankees: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Rays have combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times this season for a 74-81-7 record against the over/under.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 78 of its 163 opportunities.
• The Rays have an 85-77-0 record against the spread this season (covering 52.5% of the time).
• In 163 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 84-79-0 against the spread.