Rays vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 17

The Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins play a rubber match on Sunday at 12:15 p.m. ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1. Drew Rasmussen (3-1, 3.16 ERA) will start for the Rays, who are 29-15 this season and first in the AL East. Eury Perez (2-5, 4.94 ERA) is the expected starter for the Marlins, who are 21-25 and fourth in the NL East.

Oddsmakers have made the Rays a decent moneyline favorite (-156) at home over the Marlins (+130). The total in this contest is 7.

Rays vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, May 17, 2026
• Game time: 12:15 p.m. ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field
• Favorite: Rays (-156)
• Underdog: Marlins (+130)
• Over/under: 7

How to Watch Rays vs. Marlins

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Rays vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

• The Rays have won 73.9% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (17-6).
• Miami has been underdogs in 19 games this season and has come away with the win five times (26.3%) in those contests.
• Tampa Bay has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -156.
• This year, the Marlins have won three of nine games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Rays have an implied win probability of 60.9%.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Rays vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Rays have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 44 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 22 of those games (22-19-3).
• Miami's games have gone over the total in 27 of its 46 chances.
• The Rays have a 26-18-0 record against the spread this season (covering 59.1% of the time).
• In 46 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 20-26-0 against the spread.