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Rays vs. Orioles Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 16

16 August 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Baltimore Orioles at 12:15 p.m. ET on Sunday, featuring two top-10 sluggers. Junior Caminero has 35 homers (third in league) for the Rays, and Pete Alonso is ninth with 27 home runs for the Orioles. Freddy Peralta (5-9, 5.33 ERA) will start for the Rays, who are 74-48 this season and first in the AL East. Trevor Rogers (7-8, 4.21 ERA) is the expected starter for the Orioles, who are 60-63 and fifth in the AL East.

With the Orioles (+127) visiting, the Rays (-144) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The over/under in this contest is set at 7.5.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Game time: 12:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field
  • Favorite: Rays (-144)
  • Underdog: Orioles (+127)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Rays vs. Orioles

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Rays vs. Orioles: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Rays have compiled a 52-27 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 65.8% of those games).
  • Baltimore has been pegged as an underdog in 65 games this year and has walked away with the win 29 times (44.6%) in those games.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 21-12 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have a mark of 7-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +127 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have a 59% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Rays vs. Orioles: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Rays have played in 122 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 54 times (54-62-6).
  • Baltimore's games have gone over the total in 63 of its 123 chances.
  • The Rays have a 70-52-0 record against the spread this season (covering 57.4% of the time).
  • The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 64-59-0 in 123 games with a line this season.
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