Rays vs. Orioles Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 16
16 August 2026

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Baltimore Orioles at 12:15 p.m. ET on Sunday, featuring two top-10 sluggers. Junior Caminero has 35 homers (third in league) for the Rays, and Pete Alonso is ninth with 27 home runs for the Orioles. Freddy Peralta (5-9, 5.33 ERA) will start for the Rays, who are 74-48 this season and first in the AL East. Trevor Rogers (7-8, 4.21 ERA) is the expected starter for the Orioles, who are 60-63 and fifth in the AL East.
With the Orioles (+127) visiting, the Rays (-144) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The over/under in this contest is set at 7.5.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Game Time
- Game day: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Game time: 12:15 p.m. ET
- Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Stadium: Tropicana Field
- Favorite: Rays (-144)
- Underdog: Orioles (+127)
- Over/under: 7.5
How to Watch Rays vs. Orioles
- TV Channel: NBCSN and Peacock
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!
Rays vs. Orioles: Betting the Moneyline
- The Rays have compiled a 52-27 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 65.8% of those games).
- Baltimore has been pegged as an underdog in 65 games this year and has walked away with the win 29 times (44.6%) in those games.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 21-12 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have a mark of 7-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +127 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rays have a 59% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Rays vs. Orioles: Betting the Spread & Total
- The Rays have played in 122 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 54 times (54-62-6).
- Baltimore's games have gone over the total in 63 of its 123 chances.
- The Rays have a 70-52-0 record against the spread this season (covering 57.4% of the time).
- The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 64-59-0 in 123 games with a line this season.
