Buccaneers vs. Dolphins Week 17 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

Having dropped three in a row, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) will take on the Miami Dolphins (6-9). Despite that, the Buccaneers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). The over/under for this one is set at 44.5 points.

The Buccaneers rank 18th in scoring offense (23.1 points per game) and 24th in scoring defense (25.1 points allowed per game) this year. In terms of total offense, the Dolphins rank 24th in the NFL (308.9 total yards per game) and 20th on defense (339.5 total yards allowed per contest).

Buccaneers vs. Dolphins Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Miami Gardens, Florida
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Total: 44.5 points
• Spread: Buccaneers -6.5
• Moneyline: Buccaneers (-278), Dolphins (+225)

How to watch Buccaneers vs. Dolphins

• TV Channel: FOX (KFTA-Ft. Smith, AK)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Buccaneers vs. Dolphins

• In seven of 15 games this season, the Buccaneers and their opponents have gone over 44.5 points.
• In Tampa Bay's 15 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total eight times.
• The Dolphins have played six games this season that have had more than 44.5 combined points scored.
• Miami games have hit the over nine out of 15 times this season.
• The two teams combine to score 44.2 points per game, 0.3 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• These teams give up 49.7 points per game combined, 5.2 more points than the total for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Buccaneers vs. Dolphins

• Tampa Bay has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 10 times.
• Tampa Bay has been favored by 6.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
• The Dolphins have put together a 7-8-0 record against the spread this year.
• Miami is 3-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
• The Dolphins are 4-4 against the spread, and 4-4 overall, at home.
• At home, as 6.5-point underdogs or greater, Miami has one win ATS (1-1).
• The Buccaneers are 4-4 overall, and 4-4 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Buccaneers vs. Dolphins

• Tampa Bay has won five of the nine games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (55.6%).
• The Dolphins have won two of the nine games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Tampa Bay is 1-2 (winning only 33.3% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -278 or shorter.
• This season, Miami has won two of its four games when it is the underdog by at least +225 on the moneyline.
• The Buccaneers have a 73.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Buccaneers vs. Dolphins

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