Storm vs. Fire: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 4

The Portland Fire (8-12) will attempt to stop a six-game road slide when visiting the Seattle Storm (5-16) on Saturday, July 4, 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena, airing at 9 p.m. ET on FOX12+, CW Seattle, KOMO 4, and Amazon Prime Video.

Seattle, led by Awa Fam with 13 points, six rebounds and two blocks, fell short in a 90-67 loss against Phoenix in their most recent outing. Natisha Hiedeman added 13 points.

Portland fell on the road to Washington 124-123 last time out, and were led by Carla Leite (32 PTS, 9 AST, 3 STL, 46.2 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) and Sarah Ashlee Barker (25 PTS, 62.5 FG%).

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Storm vs. Fire Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Storm-Fire game.

• Favorite: Storm (-3.5)
• Total: 169.5
• Storm Moneyline: -162
• Fire Moneyline: +132

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Storm Betting Insights

• The Storm have a 61.8% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• Seattle has been a moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and split the two games.
• The Storm have covered 11 times in 21 chances against the spread this season.
• In nine games this season, Seattle and its opponents have scored more than 169.5 combined points.
• The Storm have an average total of 165.0 in their outings this year, 4.5 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Fire Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.1% chance of a victory for the Fire.
• Portland has won five, or 31.2%, of the 16 games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Fire have won eight games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• Portland and its opponents have combined to score more than 169.5 points in 12 of 20 games this season.
• The Fire's average game total this season has been 169.9, 0.4 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Storm vs. Fire

• Seattle averages 80.4 points per game, 11.9 fewer points than the 92.3 Portland allows.
• The Storm have a 3-1 record when putting up more than 92.3 points.
• Seattle's offense has been drastically better when playing at home (84.8 PPG) compared to road games (75.6 PPG). Likewise, its defense has been much better at home (83.5 PPG allowed) when compared to its play on the road (89.5 PPG allowed).
• Portland puts up only 1.7 fewer points per game (84.7) than Seattle allows (86.4).
• The Fire have gone 4-3 when they've scored more than 86.4 points.
• In 2026 Portland is putting up fewer points at home (83.8 per game) than away (85.7). But it also is conceding fewer points at home (87.5) than away (98.2).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.