Storm vs. Fire: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 4

The Portland Fire (8-12) hope to stop a three-game losing streak when visiting the Seattle Storm (5-16) at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, July 4, 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena. The matchup airs on FOX12+, CW Seattle, KOMO 4, and Amazon Prime Video.

In Seattle's last game, it lost to Phoenix 90-67. The Storm were led by Awa Fam, who finished with 13 points, six rebounds and two blocks, and Natisha Hiedeman, with 13 points.

In its previous game, Portland lost to Washington, 124-123, on the road. Its top scorers were Carla Leite (32 PTS, 9 AST, 3 STL, 46.2 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) and Sarah Ashlee Barker (25 PTS, 62.5 FG%).

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Storm vs. Fire Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Storm-Fire matchup.

• Favorite: Storm (-4.5)
• Total: 171.5
• Storm Moneyline: -178
• Fire Moneyline: +144

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Storm Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Storm have an implied win probability of 64.0%.
• Seattle has been listed as a moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and split the two games.
• The Storm are 11-10-0 ATS this season.
• Seattle and its opponents have scored more than 171.5 points in six of 21 games this season.
• The Storm have an average point total of 165.0 in their contests this year, 6.5 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Fire Betting Insights

• The Fire have a 41.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Portland has been the underdog in 16 games this season and won five (31.2%) of those contests.
• The Fire are 8-12-0 ATS this season.
• Portland and its opponents have combined to score more than 171.5 points in 12 of 20 games this season.
• The Fire have had an average of 169.9 points scored in their games so far this season, 1.6 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Storm vs. Fire

• Seattle averages 11.9 fewer points per game (80.4) than Portland allows (92.3).
• The Storm are 3-1 when scoring more than 92.3 points.
• In 2026, Seattle's offense has been much better at home, where it scores 84.8 points per game, compared to on the road, where it puts up 75.6 per game. Defensively, it has been much tougher in home games, where it concedes 83.5 points per game, versus road games, where it allows its opponents to score 89.5 per game.
• Portland scores an average of 84.7 points per game, just 1.7 fewer points than the 86.4 Seattle gives up.
• The Fire have gone 4-3 when they've scored more than 86.4 points.
• Portland averages fewer points per game at home (83.8) than away (85.7), but also allows fewer at home (87.5) than away (98.2).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.