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Stars vs. Sharks NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 5

05 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Dallas Stars and San Jose Sharks are coming off a loss and a victory, respectively, heading into their matchup at American Airlines Center on Monday at 8 p.m. ET. The Sharks are underdogs on the road, at +170, and the Stars are -205.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our pick for which team will emerge victorious in Monday's hockey action.

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Stars vs. Sharks Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Dallas Stars and San Jose Sharks, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Stars 3 - Sharks 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Stars vs. Sharks Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Stars-Sharks matchup.

  • Favorite: Stars (-205)
  • Underdog: Sharks (+170)

Stars Betting Insights

  • The Stars were 40-26 when favored on the moneyline last season.
  • Dallas was 8-1 when it played as a moneyline favorite of -205 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Stars have an implied win probability of 67.2%.
  • In 42 games last season, Dallas and its opponent combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Sharks Betting Insights

  • Last season the Sharks won 32 of the 65 games, or 49.2%, in which they were an underdog.
  • San Jose had a record of 8-16, a 33.3% win rate, when set as an underdog by +170 or more last season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Sharks, based on the moneyline, is 37.0%.
  • San Jose played 42 games last season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Stars Key Stats

  • Dallas scored the ninth-most goals in the league last season (273 total, 3.3 per game).
  • The Stars conceded 222 total goals (2.7 per game), ranking second in NHL play for the fewest goals against.
  • Its +51 goal differential was the fourth-best in the league.
  • The 71 power-play goals the Stars recorded last season led the NHL (on 248 power-play chances).
  • Dallas' 28.63% power-play conversion rate was the second-best in the league.
  • The four shorthanded goals the Stars scored last season ranked 26th among NHL squads.
  • Dallas had the league's 13th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.32%).
  • Dallas had the seventh-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 51.6%.
  • The Stars shot 13.2% as a team (No. 1 in the league).

Sharks Key Stats

  • San Jose's 249 goals last season (3.0 per game) ranked 17th in the NHL.
  • The Sharks allowed 290 total goals (3.5 per game), 30th in the league.
  • It had the 28th-ranked goal differential in the league at -41.
  • With 54 power-play goals (on 254 chances), the Sharks were 12th in the NHL.
  • San Jose scored on 21.26% of its power plays, No. 15 in the league.
  • The Sharks had three shorthanded goals (28th in NHL).
  • The 76.42% penalty-kill percentage of San Jose was 27th in the NHL.
  • San Jose was 26th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (47.8%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 11.8%, the Sharks were seventh in the league.

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