Stars vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 10

The Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins -- the former coming off a win, the latter a defeat -- will face each other on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh. The oddsmakers have made the Stars heavy favorites at -180 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Penguins are at +150.

Pittsburgh was on the road for its most recent game on Oct. 9, and fell to the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2, losing a shootout 1-0. Erik Karlsson (one assist) and Bryan Rust (one goal) were among the four Penguins skaters who put up one point each in that outing.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which team will secure the win in Saturday's hockey action.

Stars vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Penguins 4 - Stars 3
• Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)
  

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Stars vs. Penguins Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Stars-Penguins matchup.

• Favorite: Stars (-180)
• Underdog: Penguins (+150)

Stars Betting Insights

• The Stars were 4-2 when favored on the moneyline last season.
• Dallas played as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter in just two games last season, and won both.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Stars a 64.3% chance to win.
• In seven of nine games last season, Dallas and its opponent combined for more than 5.5 goals.

Penguins Betting Insights

• The Penguins have won two of the four games they have played as an underdog this season.
• Pittsburgh has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +150 moneyline for this game.
• The implied probability of a win by the Penguins, based on the moneyline, is 40.0%.
• Pittsburgh has played three games this season that finished with over 5.5 goals.

Stars Key Stats

• Dallas' 273 total goals (3.3 per game) made it the ninth-highest scoring team in the NHL last season.
• The Stars conceded 222 total goals (2.7 per game), the second-fewest in NHL play.
• Its goal differential (+51) made it fourth-best in the league.
• The 71 power-play goals the Stars put up last season led the NHL (on 248 power-play chances).
• Dallas ranked second in the league with a 28.63% power-play conversion rate.
• The Stars scored four shorthanded goals last season.
• Dallas' 80.32% penalty-kill success rate ranked 13th in the league.
• Dallas won 51.6% of its faceoffs to rank seventh in the NHL.
• The Stars' 13.2% shooting percentage led the league.

Penguins Key Stats

• Pittsburgh's 20 goals on the season (four per game) rank fifth in the NHL.
• The Penguins have allowed 15 total goals this season (three per game), 23rd in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of +5, the team is seventh-best in the league in that category.
• The Penguins have four power-play goals (seventh-most in NHL) on 15 chances.
• Pittsburgh's power-play percentage (26.67) puts the team ninth in the league.
• This season, the Penguins have one shorthanded goal (fourth in league).
• Pittsburgh's has the third-best penalty-kill percentage (92.86%).
• Pittsburgh wins 42.9% of faceoffs, 31st-ranked in the NHL.
• The 13.2% shooting percentage of the Penguins is ninth in the league.