Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 7
07 February 2026

The Southern Utah Thunderbirds (8-15, 4-6 WAC) are favored, by 1.5 points, versus the Tarleton State Texans (11-12, 2-8 WAC) on February 7, 2026 at America First Event Center. The Texans are sputtering right now, having lost seven in a row and going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup has a point total of 149.5.
In its last time out, Southern Utah won on Saturday 79-76 against Abilene Christian. Elijah Duval scored a team-high 29 points for Southern Utah in the win. Tarleton State's most recent game was a 56-55 loss to Cal Baptist on Thursday. Tarleton State got a team-high 18 points from Andy Sigiscar in the loss.
Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: America First Event Center in Cedar City, Utah
- Spread favorite: Southern Utah -1.5
- Moneyline favorite: Southern Utah -130
- Moneyline underdog: Tarleton State +110
- Over/Under: 149.5 points
How to watch Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State
- This season, 12 of Southern Utah's 20 games have gone over Saturday's total of 149.5 points.
- There have been 10 Tarleton State games that ended with a combined score higher than 149.5 points this season.
- The point total for the game of 149.5 is 4.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Thunderbirds (77.2) and Texans (77.0).
- This matchup's over/under is 4.5 fewer points than the 154 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
- Southern Utah has a 157.7 average over/under in its games this season, 8.2 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- A difference of 1.1 points separates the average over/under in Tarleton State's games (150.6 points) and this matchup's over/under (149.5).
Betting the Spread: Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State
- Southern Utah has 11 wins against the spread in 20 games this season.
- Tarleton State is 11-8-0 against the spread this year.
- The Texans have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more 11 times this year and are 6-5 ATS in those contests.
- At home this season, Southern Utah is 3-2 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
- Tarleton State is 7-4 against the spread, and 3-8 overall, away from home.
- Tarleton State has one win ATS (1-1) as 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road.
Betting the Moneyline: Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State
- Southern Utah won the only game it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
- The Thunderbirds have not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -130 odds on them winning this game.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for Southern Utah.
- Tarleton State has been victorious in two, or 18.2%, of the 11 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
- The Texans have a mark of 2-9 in contests where sportsbooks give them odds of +110 or worse on the moneyline.
- Tarleton State has an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
