SMU vs. Miami (OH) Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - First Four

The SMU Mustangs (20-13) and the Miami (OH) RedHawks (31-1) square off with a spot in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament bracket at stake on Wednesday at UD Arena, tipping off at 9:15 p.m. ET, live on truTV. SMU is favored by 6.5 points as these teams look to advance to the opening round. The over/under in the matchup is set at 164.5.

SMU is coming off of a 62-58 loss to Louisville in its last outing on Wednesday. In the loss, Jaron Pierre Jr. led SMU with 17 points. Miami (OH)'s last outing on Thursday ended in an 87-83 loss to UMass. Brant Byers scored 17 points in Miami (OH)'s loss, leading the team.

SMU vs. Miami (OH) Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 18, 2026 at 9:15 p.m. ET
• Where: UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio
• Spread favorite: SMU -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: SMU -312
• Moneyline underdog: Miami (OH) +239
• Over/Under: 164.5 points

How to watch SMU vs. Miami (OH)

• TV Channel: truTV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: SMU vs. Miami (OH)

• A total of 17 of SMU's games this season have gone over Wednesday's total of 164.5 points.
• This season, nine of Miami (OH)'s games have ended with a combined score higher than 164.5 points.
• The total for the game of 164.5 is 10.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Mustangs (84.2 points per game) and the RedHawks (90.7 points per game).
• These two teams surrender a combined 152.9 points per game, 11.6 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the over/under in SMU's games is 2.7 fewer points than the over/under of 164.5 in this contest.
• A difference of 1.5 points separates the average over/under in Miami (OH)'s games (166.0 points) and this matchup's over/under (164.5).

Betting the Spread: SMU vs. Miami (OH)

• SMU is 15-17-1 against the spread this year.
• The Mustangs have an against the spread record of 5-8 in their 13 games when favored by 6.5 points or more so far this season.
• In Miami (OH)'s 29 games this year, it has 19 wins against the spread.
• The RedHawks have been underdogs by 6.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
• At home this season, SMU is 15-3 overall and 8-10 against the spread.
• At home, SMU is 5-8 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or greater.
• On the road, Miami (OH) is 10-4 against the spread, and 14-0 overall.
• This season Miami (OH) is 3-1 ATS as 6.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: SMU vs. Miami (OH)

• This season, SMU has been moneyline favorites 21 times and won 17, or 81%, of those games.
• The Mustangs are undefeated in 13 games this season when favored by -312 or more on the moneyline.
• SMU has a 75.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Miami (OH) has been listed as the moneyline underdog four times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
• Oddsmakers have given the RedHawks the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +239 moneyline listed for this contest.
• Miami (OH) has an implied victory probability of 29.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.