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Senators vs. Sabres NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 2

02 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The Ottawa Senators and Buffalo Sabres are coming off a loss and a win, respectively, heading into their meeting at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. The bookmakers see this as a tight one, with the Senators -120 to win on the moneyline, and the Sabres at +100.

Ottawa lost 6-3 on the road in its last game on March 31 against the Florida Panthers. Michael Amadio's two points (one goal and one assist) led the Senators.

Buffalo won at home in its most recent game on March 31, 4-3 over the New York Islanders. Joshua Norris (two assists) and Jack Quinn (one goal and one assist) were among the three Sabres players who put up two points each in that outing.

Get ready for this matchup with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Thursday's game.

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Senators vs. Sabres Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and Buffalo Sabres, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Sabres 4 - Senators 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.91 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Sabres Moneylines

Take a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Senators-Sabres game.

  • Favorite: Senators (-120)
  • Underdog: Sabres (+100)

Senators Betting Insights

  • In the 53 times this season the Senators have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 30-23 in those games.
  • Ottawa is 29-19 (winning 60.4% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -120 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Senators have an implied probability of 54.5% to win.
  • Ottawa and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in 37 of 74 games this season.

Sabres Betting Insights

  • The Sabres have won 21, or 61.8%, of the 34 games they have played while the underdog this season.
  • Buffalo is 16-11 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +100 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Sabres, based on the moneyline, is 50.0%.
  • Buffalo has played 35 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa has scored the 10th-most goals in the NHL (244 total, 3.3 per game).
  • The Senators have given up 229 total goals (3.1 per game), ranking 17th in league action in goals against.
  • It has the league's 12th-ranked goal differential at +15.
  • The 54 power-play goals the Senators have scored this season are fifth-best in the NHL (on 240 power-play chances).
  • Ottawa ranks 11th in the league with a 22.5% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Senators have scored six shorthanded goals this season.
  • Ottawa kills 74.65% of opponent power plays, the 30th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Ottawa has the second-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 54.6%.
  • The Senators make 11.4% of their shots (11th in the league).

Sabres Key Stats

  • With 258 goals (3.4 per game), Buffalo has the league's sixth-best offense.
  • The Sabres' total of 221 goals conceded (3.0 per game) is 11th in the NHL.
  • It has the fifth-best goal differential in the league at +37.
  • The Sabres have 48 power-play goals (on 224 chances), 14th in the NHL.
  • Buffalo has the league's 15th-ranked power-play percentage (21.43%).
  • This season, the Sabres have 10 shorthanded goals (third in NHL).
  • The 81.73% penalty-kill percentage of Buffalo is sixth in the NHL.
  • Buffalo is 32nd in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (45.5%).
  • The 12.2% shooting percentage of the Sabres is fifth in the league.

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