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Senators vs. Red Wings NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 5

05 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Detroit Red Wings (24-15-4) will visit the Ottawa Senators (20-15-5) on Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET, in a matchup featuring two teams at different ends of the Eastern Conference. Senators (-155) versus Red Wings (+130) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Ottawa claimed a 4-2 home victory over the Winnipeg Jets in its last game on Jan. 3. Thomas Chabot's two points (two goals) led the Senators.

Detroit's most recent game was a home loss, 4-1, to the Pittsburgh Penguins on Jan. 3. Alex DeBrincat led the Red Wings with one point (one goal) in that outing.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which club will emerge victorious in Monday's hockey action.

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Senators vs. Red Wings Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and Detroit Red Wings, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Red Wings 4 - Senators 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.09 goals)

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Senators vs. Red Wings Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Senators-Red Wings game.

  • Favorite: Senators (-155)
  • Underdog: Red Wings (+130)

Senators Betting Insights

  • In the 29 times this season the Senators have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 15-14 in those games.
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -155 or shorter, Ottawa has compiled an 8-4 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
  • The Senators' implied moneyline win probability is 60.8% in this contest.
  • Ottawa and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 21 of 40 games this season.

Red Wings Betting Insights

  • The Red Wings have been listed as an underdog 21 times this season, and won 11, or 52.4%, of those games.
  • Detroit has entered seven games this season as the underdog by +130 or more and is 4-3 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Red Wings have a 43.5% chance to win.
  • Detroit has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 20 of 43 games this season.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa ranks 13th in the NHL with 130 goals scored (3.2 per game).
  • Defensively, the Senators are giving up 129 total goals (3.2 per game) to rank 19th in NHL action.
  • Its goal differential (+1) ranks 12th in the league.
  • The 33 power-play goals the Senators have recorded this season (on 131 power-play chances) are the third-most in the NHL.
  • Ottawa ranks fifth in the league with a 25.19% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Senators have scored two shorthanded goals this season (20th among NHL squads).
  • Ottawa kills 72.57% of opponent power plays, the 31st-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Ottawa wins the second-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 55.7%.
  • The Senators have an 11.6% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks sixth in the league.

Red Wings Key Stats

  • Detroit has 129 goals this season (three per game), 14th in the NHL.
  • The Red Wings concede 3.2 goals per game (136 in total), 23rd in the NHL.
  • Its -7 goal differential ranks 21st in the league.
  • The Red Wings have 33 power-play goals (on 133 chances), third in the NHL.
  • Detroit scores on 24.81% of its power plays, No. 6 in the league.
  • Detroit's has the 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.53%).
  • Detroit wins 51.4% of faceoffs, 10th-best in the NHL.
  • With a shooting percentage of 10.5%, the Red Wings are 20th in the league.

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