Senators vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 15
15 April 2026

The Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs -- both coming off losses in their last game -- will play on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET, at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. Senators (-198) versus Maple Leafs (+164) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.
Ottawa suffered a 4-3 overtime defeat on the road its last time out on April 12 against the New Jersey Devils. Michael Amadio (one goal) and Nick Cousins (one assist) were among the seven Senators skaters who collected one point each.
Toronto's most recent game was a home loss, 6-5, to the Dallas Stars on April 13. William Nylander led the Maple Leafs with three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup.
As hockey play continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which club we predict will capture the win in Wednesday's game.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Senators vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Senators 3
- Pick OU:
Over 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 7.09 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines
Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Senators-Maple Leafs matchup.
- Favorite: Senators (-198)
- Underdog: Maple Leafs (+164)
Senators Betting Insights
- The Senators are 34-24 when favored on the moneyline this season.
- In games it has played with moneyline odds of -198 or shorter, Ottawa is 6-1 (winning 85.7% of the time).
- The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Senators have a 66.4% chance to win.
- In 40 games this season, Ottawa and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
Maple Leafs Betting Insights
- The Maple Leafs have been listed as an underdog 45 times this season, and won 15, or 33.3%, of those games.
- Toronto has entered 12 games this season as the underdog by +164 or more and is 4-8 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win by the Maple Leafs, based on the moneyline, is 37.9%.
- Toronto's games this season have had over 6.5 goals 46 of 80 times.
Senators Key Stats
- Ottawa has scored the eighth-most goals in the NHL (272 total, 3.4 per game).
- Defensively, the Senators are allowing 244 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 13th in league action.
- Its goal differential (+28) makes the team ninth-best in the league.
- The 61 power-play goals the Senators have recorded this season (fourth-most in the NHL) have come on 259 power-play chances.
- Ottawa is eighth in the league with a 23.55% power-play conversion rate.
- The eight shorthanded goals the Senators have scored this season rank sixth among NHL squads.
- Ottawa kills 75.64% of opponent power plays, the 29th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Ottawa has the second-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 54.5%.
- The Senators have an 11.7% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks ninth in the league.
Maple Leafs Key Stats
- Toronto has 251 goals this season (3.1 per game), 16th in the NHL.
- The Maple Leafs' total of 292 goals conceded (3.6 per game) is 31st in the NHL.
- With a goal differential of -41, the team is 28th in the league.
- The Maple Leafs have 42 power-play goals (23rd in NHL) on 196 chances.
- Toronto's power-play percentage (21.43) ranks the team 15th in the league.
- In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have six.
- At 81.86%, Toronto has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Toronto is third in faceoff win rate in the NHL (54.3%).
- The 11.8% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is seventh in the league.
