Senators vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 15
15 April 2026

The Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs -- both coming off losses in their last game -- will face each other on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET, at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. The Maple Leafs are underdogs away from home, at +170, and the Senators are -205.
Ottawa lost 4-3 in overtime on the road its last time out on April 12 against the New Jersey Devils. The Senators got one point apiece out of seven players, including Michael Amadio (one goal) and Fabian Zetterlund (one goal).
Toronto lost 6-5 at home against the Dallas Stars in its most recent game on April 13. William Nylander's three points (one goal and two assists) in that outing led the Maple Leafs.
Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a look at which team we think will come out on top in Wednesday's action on the ice.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Senators vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick
For the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Senators 3
- Pick OU:
Over 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 7.09 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines
Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Senators-Maple Leafs matchup.
- Favorite: Senators (-205)
- Underdog: Maple Leafs (+170)
Senators Betting Insights
- The Senators have been victorious in 34 of their 58 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (58.6%).
- Ottawa is 6-1 (winning 85.7% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -205 or shorter.
- Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Senators' implied win probability is 67.2%.
- In 40 games this season, Ottawa and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
Maple Leafs Betting Insights
- The Maple Leafs have been listed as an underdog 45 times this season, and won 15, or 33.3%, of those games.
- Toronto is 4-8 this season when entering a game as an underdog by +170 or more on the moneyline.
- The Maple Leafs have a 37.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Toronto's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 46 of 80 times.
Senators Key Stats
- Ottawa's 272 total goals (3.4 per game) rank eighth in the league.
- Defensively, the Senators are conceding 244 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 13th in league play.
- It has the league's ninth-best goal differential at +28.
- The 61 power-play goals the Senators have put up this season (on 259 power-play chances) are the fourth-most in the NHL.
- Ottawa's 23.55% power-play conversion rate is the eighth-best in the league.
- The Senators have scored eight shorthanded goals this season (sixth among NHL squads).
- Ottawa has the league's 29th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (75.64%).
- Ottawa wins the second-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 54.5%.
- The Senators have an 11.7% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks ninth in the league.
Maple Leafs Key Stats
- With 251 goals (3.1 per game), Toronto has the league's 16th-ranked offense.
- The Maple Leafs have allowed 292 total goals this season (3.6 per game), 31st in the NHL.
- Its -41 goal differential ranks 28th in the league.
- The Maple Leafs have 42 power-play goals (on 196 chances), 23rd in the NHL.
- Toronto has the NHL's 15th-ranked power-play percentage (21.43%).
- In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have six.
- At 81.86%, Toronto has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Toronto wins 54.3% of faceoffs, third-best in the NHL.
- The Maple Leafs' 11.8% shooting percentage is seventh in the league.
