Senators vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 7

The Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning are coming off a win and a defeat, respectively, heading into their meeting at Canadian Tire Centre on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET. Senators (-135) versus Lightning (+114) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Ottawa earned a 6-3 victory at home its last time out on April 5 against the Carolina Hurricanes. Five Senators skaters recorded two points each, including Shane Pinto (one goal and one assist) and Ridly Greig (two assists).

Tampa Bay played on the road its last time out on April 6, and lost 4-2 against the Buffalo Sabres. The Lightning were led in that matchup by Darren Raddysh (two assists) and Jake Guentzel (one goal and one assist).

As hockey play continues, prepare for the contest by checking out which team we predict will capture the win in Tuesday's game.

Senators vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Senators 3 - Lightning 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.03 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Lightning Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Senators-Lightning matchup.

• Favorite: Senators (-135)
• Underdog: Lightning (+114)

Senators Betting Insights

• The Senators have gone 31-24 this season when favored on the moneyline.
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter, Ottawa has put together a 20-14 record (winning 58.8% of its games).
• Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Senators' implied win probability is 57.4%.
• In 38 games this season, Ottawa and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Lightning Betting Insights

• This season the Lightning have been an underdog 11 times, and won seven, or 63.6%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay is 1-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +114 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by the Lightning, based on the moneyline, is 46.7%.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to score over 6.5 goals in 36 of 76 games this season.

Senators Key Stats

• Ottawa has scored the eighth-most goals in the NHL (255 total, 3.3 per game).
• The Senators rank 18th in goals against, giving up 237 total goals (3.1 per game) in NHL action.
• Its goal differential (+18) makes the team 10th-best in the league.
• The 56 power-play goals the Senators have scored this season (fifth-most in the NHL) have come on 246 power-play chances.
• Ottawa is 11th in the league with a 22.76% power-play conversion rate.
• The Senators have scored six shorthanded goals this season.
• Ottawa kills 74.77% of opponent power plays, the 30th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Ottawa wins the highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 54.6%.
• The Senators shoot 11.5% as a team (11th in the league).

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 275 goals on the season (3.6 per game) rank third in the league.
• The Lightning have one of the best defenses in the league, conceding 213 total goals (2.8 per game), third in the NHL.
• Its +62 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
• The Lightning have 50 power-play goals (on 235 chances), 13th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay scores on 21.28% of its power plays, No. 14 in the NHL.
• This season, the Lightning have six shorthanded goals (12th in NHL).
• At 82.57%, Tampa Bay has the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Tampa Bay is 28th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (47.3%).
• The 12.7% shooting percentage of the Lightning is third in the league.