Senators vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 11

Both the Ottawa Senators and New York Islanders are coming off a victory, heading into their matchup at UBS Arena on Saturday at 1 p.m. ET. Senators (-130) at Islanders (+110) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Ottawa earned a 5-1 victory at home its last time out on April 9 against the Florida Panthers. The Senators were led by Fabian Zetterlund (two goals) and Jake Sanderson (two assists).

In its last game on April 9, New York earned a 5-3 home victory against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Anthony DeAngelo (two assists) and Calum Ritchie (one goal and one assist) each had two points for the Islanders in that matchup.

Here is our prediction for who will clinch the victory in Saturday's matchup.

Senators vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and New York Islanders, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Islanders 4 - Senators 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.97 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Islanders Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Senators-Islanders matchup.

• Favorite: Senators (-130)
• Underdog: Islanders (+110)

Senators Betting Insights

• The Senators are 33-24 this season when favored on the moneyline.
• Ottawa is 24-17 (winning 58.5% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -130 or shorter.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Senators have an implied probability of 56.5% to win.
• Ottawa's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 39 times.

Islanders Betting Insights

• The Islanders have been an underdog in 47 games this season, and won 27 (57.4%).
• This season New York has won 17 of its 28 games, or 60.7%, when it's the underdog by at least +110 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of victory for the Islanders.
• New York and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 36 of 79 games this season.

Senators Key Stats

• Ottawa's 266 total goals (3.4 per game) make it the eighth-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Senators are conceding 240 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 15th in league play.
• Its goal differential (+26) makes the team 10th-best in the league.
• The 59 power-play goals the Senators have recorded this season are fourth-best in the NHL (on 250 power-play chances).
• Ottawa's 23.6% power-play conversion rate is the eighth-best in the league.
• The Senators have capitalized with seven shorthanded goals this season (ninth among NHL squads).
• Ottawa's 75.11% penalty-kill success rate ranks 29th in the league.
• Ottawa wins the second-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 54.4%.
• The Senators shoot 11.6% as a team (11th in the league).

Islanders Key Stats

• New York's 227 goals on the season (2.9 per game) rank 23rd in the NHL.
• The Islanders have one of the top defenses in the league, conceding 227 total goals (2.9 per game), sixth in the league.
• Its 0 goal differential ranks 15th in the league.
• The Islanders have 40 power-play goals (24th in NHL) on 233 chances.
• New York's power-play percentage (17.17) ranks the team 29th in the league.
• This season, the Islanders have nine shorthanded goals (fourth in NHL).
• The 81.07% penalty-kill percentage of New York is ninth in the league.
• New York wins 52.8% of faceoffs, fifth-best in the NHL.
• The Islanders' 10.2% shooting percentage is 28th in the league.