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Senators vs. Bruins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 5

05 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Ottawa Senators (1-0) visit the Boston Bruins (2-1) on Monday, Oct. 5, with the Senators coming off a win in their last game and the Bruins a loss. The Bruins are slight underdogs, at -102, and the Senators are -118.

Prepare for this showdown with a glimpse at who we project to emerge with the victory in Monday's game.

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Senators vs. Bruins Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and Boston Bruins, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Bruins 4 - Senators 3
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Bruins Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Senators-Bruins matchup.

  • Favorite: Senators (-118)
  • Underdog: Bruins (-102)

Senators Betting Insights

  • The Senators won 58.3% of their games last season when they were a moneyline favorite (35-25).
  • Ottawa had a 34-23 record (winning 59.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -118 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Senators have an implied win probability of 54.1%.
  • In 46 of 86 games last season, Ottawa and its opponent combined for more than 5.5 goals.

Bruins Betting Insights

  • Last season the Bruins won 27 of the 56 games, or 48.2%, in which they were an underdog.
  • Boston had a record of 27-28, a 49.1% win rate, when set as an underdog by -102 or more last season.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 50.5% chance of victory for the Bruins.
  • Boston played 48 games last season that finished with over 5.5 goals.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa's 275 goals scored last season (3.4 per game) ranked eighth in the league.
  • The Senators gave up 245 total goals (3.0 per game), ranking 13th in league play in goals against.
  • It had the league's eighth-best goal differential at +30.
  • The 63 power-play goals the Senators put up last season (fourth-most in the NHL) came via 262 power-play chances.
  • Ottawa ranked eighth in the league with a 24.05% power-play conversion rate.
  • The eight shorthanded goals the Senators scored last season ranked sixth among NHL teams.
  • Ottawa's 75.85% penalty-kill success rate ranked 29th in the league.
  • Ottawa won 54.5% of its faceoffs to rank second in the NHL.
  • The Senators scored on 11.6% of their shots (10th in the league).

Bruins Key Stats

  • Boston was 10th in the NHL in scoring last season (268 goals, 3.3 per game).
  • The Bruins' total of 247 goals conceded (3.0 per game) was 14th in the league.
  • Its +21 goal differential was 13th in the league.
  • The Bruins had 55 power-play goals (on 235 chances), 10th in the NHL.
  • Boston's power-play percentage (23.4) put the team ninth in the league.
  • The Bruins had two shorthanded goals (30th in NHL).
  • Boston had the 24th-ranked penalty kill percentage (76.98%).
  • Boston was fourth in faceoff win rate in the NHL (53.1%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 12.2%, the Bruins were sixth in the league.

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