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Padres vs. Brewers Game 3 of the NLDS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 6

06 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres host the Milwaukee Brewers for Game 3 of the NLDS, Tuesday at 9:30 p.m. ET. The Brewers are ahead 2-0 and can sweep with a victory. Nick Pivetta (3-2, 2.86 ERA) gets the start for the Padres, and Dustin May (7-9, 4.70 ERA) is the expected starter for the Brewers.

At home, the Padres are favored to win on the moneyline (-142) over the Brewers (+118). The game's total is 7.5.

Padres vs. Brewers Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
  • Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Petco Park
  • Favorite: Padres (-142)
  • Underdog: Brewers (+118)
  • Over/under: 7.5

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Padres vs. Brewers: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Padres have put together a 52-31 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62.7% of those games).
  • Milwaukee has been pegged as an underdog in 36 games this year and has walked away with the win 19 times (52.8%) in those games.
  • This season San Diego has won 30 of its 39 games, or 76.9%, when favored by at least -142 on the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have a win-loss record of 3-5 when favored by +118 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Padres have an implied moneyline win probability of 58.7% in this game.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Padres vs. Brewers: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Padres have had an over/under set by bookmakers 166 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 78 of those games (78-82-6).
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 72 of its 164 games with a total.
  • The Padres have covered 57.8% of their games this season, going 96-70-0 ATS.
  • In 164 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 84-80-0 against the spread.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Padres vs. Brewers

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