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Padres vs. Astros Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 9

09 August 2026 By Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres host the Houston Astros at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series. Randy Vasquez (7-6, 4.19 ERA) gets the start for the Padres, who are 61-57 this season and third in the NL West. Cristian Javier (1-2, 6.59 ERA) is the expected starter for the Astros, who are 60-58 and first in the AL West.

With the Astros (+106) visiting, the Padres (-120) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The contest has a total set at 9.

Padres vs. Astros Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, August 9, 2026
  • Game time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Petco Park
  • Favorite: Padres (-120)
  • Underdog: Astros (+106)
  • Over/under: 9

How to Watch Padres vs. Astros

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Padres vs. Astros: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Padres have been favored on the moneyline 51 total times this season. They've finished 28-23 in those games.
  • Houston has been pegged as an underdog in 71 games this year and has walked away with the win 38 times (53.5%) in those games.
  • San Diego has a record of 24-18 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • This year, the Astros have won 22 of 43 games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Padres a 54.5% chance to win.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Padres vs. Astros: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Padres have combined with opponents to go over the total 54 times this season for a 54-62-2 record against the over/under.
  • Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 63 of 118 chances this season.
  • The Padres have covered 53.4% of their games this season, going 63-55-0 against the spread.
  • The Astros have an against the spread record of 62-56-0 in 118 games with a line this season.
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