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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 9

09 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks clash on Thursday at 9:40 p.m. ET. Griffin Canning (1-6, 6.71 ERA) will start for the Padres, who are 46-46 this season and second in the NL West. Merrill Kelly (6-8, 5.71 ERA) is expected to start for the Diamondbacks, who are 45-47 and third in the NL West.

The bookmakers have spoken, making the Padres (-128) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Diamondbacks (+106) at home. The contest has an over/under set at 8.5.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, July 9, 2026
  • Game time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Petco Park
  • Favorite: Padres (-128)
  • Underdog: Diamondbacks (+106)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Padres vs. Diamondbacks

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Padres have won 20 of the 36 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (55.6%).
  • Arizona has been pegged as an underdog in 52 games this year and has walked away with the win 20 times (38.5%) in those games.
  • San Diego has a record of 14-11 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have a mark of 13-25 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied moneyline win probability of 56.1% in this matchup.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 48.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Padres have played in 92 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-50-2).
  • Games involving Arizona have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 39 of 92 chances this season.
  • The Padres are 50-42-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 49-43-0 against the spread this season.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

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