Padres vs. Diamondbacks Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 6

The San Diego Padres host the Arizona Diamondbacks to start a four-game series at Petco Park, with first pitch at 9:40 p.m. ET on Monday. Walker Buehler (5-4, 4.61 ERA) will start for the Padres, who are 44-45 this season and third in the NL West. Brandon Pfaadt (1-1, 5.40 ERA) is starting for the Diamondbacks, who are 44-45 and second in the NL West.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Padres (-128) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Diamondbacks (+106) at home. The total for this contest is set at 8.5.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Monday, July 6, 2026
• Game time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: Petco Park
• Favorite: Padres (-128)
• Underdog: Diamondbacks (+106)
• Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Padres vs. Diamondbacks

• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1, SDPA and ARID
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Padres vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Moneyline

• The Padres have been favored on the moneyline 33 total times this season. They've gone 18-15 in those games.
• Arizona has won in 19, or 38.8%, of the 49 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• San Diego has entered 24 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 13-11 in those contests.
• This season, the Diamondbacks have come away with a win 13 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Padres' implied win probability is 56.1%.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 48.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Padres have had an over/under set by bookmakers 89 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 39 of those games (39-48-2).
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of its 89 opportunities.
• The Padres are 48-41-0 ATS this season.
• The Diamondbacks are 48-41-0 against the spread in their 89 games that had a posted line this season.