Steelers vs. Buccaneers Week 6 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2) are favored by 2.5 points against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-4) on October 18, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 40.5 points.

The Steelers are averaging 324.6 yards per game on offense this season (19th in NFL), and they are giving up 324.2 yards per game (13th) on the defensive side of the ball. With 20.0 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Buccaneers rank 25th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 14th, giving up 22.4 points per contest.

Steelers vs. Buccaneers Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Tampa, Florida
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Total: 40.5 points
• Spread: Steelers -2.5
• Moneyline: Steelers (-135), Buccaneers (+114)

How to watch Steelers vs. Buccaneers

• TV Channel: CBS

Betting the Over/Under: Steelers vs. Buccaneers

• The Steelers and their opponents have scored more than 40.5 total points three times this season.
• A total of three out of five Pittsburgh games this season have hit the over.
• The Buccaneers have combined with their opponent to score more than 40.5 points just twice this season.
• Tampa Bay games have hit the over twice this year.
• The two teams average 42.2 points per game combined, 1.7 more points than this game's total.
• Combined, these teams allow 44.2 points per game, 3.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Steelers vs. Buccaneers

• Pittsburgh has compiled a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season.
• Pittsburgh has covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• The Buccaneers have a record of just 1-3-1 against the spread this season.
• Tampa Bay has covered the spread once this season (1-1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
• The Buccaneers have not covered the spread at home, and are 0-3 overall there this season.
• Tampa Bay is winless ATS (0-0-1) as 2.5-point underdogs or greater at home.

Betting the Moneyline: Steelers vs. Buccaneers

• Pittsburgh has been the moneyline favorite three total times this season. They've finished 2-1 in those games.
• The Buccaneers have been underdogs in four games this season and won one (25%) of those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.
• Tampa Bay has entered three games this season as the underdog by +114 or more and is 1-2 in those contests.
• The Steelers have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Steelers vs. Buccaneers

For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.