Pirates vs. Nationals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 4

Daylen Lile leads the Washington Nationals into a contest against the Pittsburgh Pirates, a game after homering twice in a 9-5 victory over the Pirates, at 11:05 a.m. ET on Saturday. Braxton Ashcraft (8-3, 3.33 ERA) will start for the Pirates, who are 44-45 this season and fourth in the NL Central. Carson Palmquist (0-0, 2.08 ERA) is the expected starter for the Nationals, who are 46-43 and fourth in the NL East.

Even though the Pirates are playing on the road at the Nationals, they are currently favored on the moneyline at -161, compared to the home team at +133. The game's total is set at 10.

Pirates vs. Nationals Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Game time: 11:05 a.m. ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park
• Favorite: Pirates (-161)
• Underdog: Nationals (+133)
• Over/under: 10

How to Watch Pirates vs. Nationals

• TV Channel: NATS and SportsNet PT
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Pirates vs. Nationals: Betting the Moneyline

• The Pirates have a 28-21 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 57.1% of those games).
• Washington has been pegged as an underdog in 77 games this year and has walked away with the win 39 times (50.6%) in those games.
• Pittsburgh has a record of 5-7, a 41.7% win rate, when favored by -161 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• This year, the Nationals have won 14 of 31 games when listed as at least +133 or worse on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Pirates a 61.7% chance to win.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 42.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Pirates vs. Nationals: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 89 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Pirates, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 51 times (51-35-3).
• So far this season, Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 89 games with a total.
• The Pirates are 44-45-0 against the spread this season.
• The Nationals have posted a record of 55-34-0 against the spread this season.