Phillies vs. Mets Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 16

The New York Mets hope to break their three-game losing run against the Philadelphia Phillies, at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday. Aaron Nola (3-6, 5.75 ERA) will start for the Phillies, who are 54-43 this season and second in the NL East. Christian Scott (2-1, 3.17 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets, who are 40-57 and fifth in the NL East.

At home, the Phillies are favored to win on the moneyline (-131) over the Mets (+108). The over/under for this contest is set at 9.5.

Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, July 16, 2026
• Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park
• Favorite: Phillies (-131)
• Underdog: Mets (+108)
• Over/under: 9.5

How to Watch Phillies vs. Mets

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Phillies vs. Mets: Betting the Moneyline

• The Phillies have won 63.4% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (45-26).
• New York has been pegged as an underdog in 34 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (23.5%) in those games.
• Philadelphia is 39-19 this season when entering a game favored by -131 or more on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a mark of 2-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Phillies a 56.7% chance to win.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies vs. Mets: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 97 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times (41-52-4).
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of its 97 games with a total this season.
• The Phillies have covered just 39.2% of their games this season, going 38-59-0 ATS.
• The Mets are 42-55-0 against the spread in their 97 games that had a posted line this season.