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Penguins vs. Panthers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 4

04 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Florida Panthers are coming off a defeat and a victory, respectively, heading into their matchup at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday at 5 p.m. ET. Penguins (-218) versus Panthers (+180) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Pittsburgh fell in a 6-3 defeat on the road its last time out on April 2 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Penguins got two points apiece out of three players, including Yegor Chinakhov (two goals) and Kris Letang (two assists).

Florida won its most recent game 2-1 at home against the Boston Bruins on April 2. Matthew Samoskevich (one goal) and Sam Bennett (one goal) were among the three Panthers players who put up one point each in that outing.

To prepare for this matchup, here's who we project to secure the win in Saturday's hockey game.

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Penguins vs. Panthers Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Florida Panthers, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Penguins 5 - Panthers 2
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.92 goals)

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Penguins vs. Panthers Moneylines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Penguins-Panthers matchup.

  • Favorite: Penguins (-218)
  • Underdog: Panthers (+180)

Penguins Betting Insights

  • The Penguins have gone 16-14 this season when favored on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh is yet to play with moneyline odds of -218 or shorter.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Penguins have an implied probability of 68.6% to win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 41 of 75 games this season.

Panthers Betting Insights

  • This season the Panthers have won 17 of the 26 games, or 65.4%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Florida has played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer twice this season. They lost both games.
  • Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Panthers have a 35.7% chance to win.
  • Florida has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 37 of 74 games this season.

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh's 263 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the fourth-highest scoring team in the league.
  • Defensively, the Penguins are conceding 234 total goals (3.1 per game) to rank 21st in league play.
  • It has the league's eighth-best goal differential at +29.
  • The 52 power-play goals the Penguins have scored this season (on 217 power-play chances) are the eighth-most in the NHL.
  • Pittsburgh has the league's eighth-best power-play conversion rate (23.96%).
  • The six shorthanded goals the Penguins have scored this season rank 11th among NHL teams.
  • Pittsburgh kills 81.7% of opponent power plays, the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Pittsburgh wins 48.1% of its faceoffs (24th in NHL).
  • The Penguins have a 12% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks sixth in the league.

Panthers Key Stats

  • Florida has 219 goals this season (2.9 per game), 20th in the league.
  • The Panthers' total of 247 goals given up (3.3 per game) is 26th in the NHL.
  • Its -28 goal differential ranks 25th in the league.
  • The Panthers have 50 power-play goals (on 254 chances), 11th in the NHL.
  • Florida's power-play percentage (19.69) puts the team 19th in the league.
  • This season, the Panthers have seven shorthanded goals (seventh in league).
  • Florida's has the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.07%).
  • Florida wins 47% of faceoffs, 29th-ranked in the NHL.
  • With a shooting percentage of 10.4%, the Panthers are 25th in the league.

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