flexoffers
Back

Penguins vs. Capitals NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 11

11 April 2026 By Data Skrive

Both the Pittsburgh Penguins and Washington Capitals are coming off a victory, heading into their meeting at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday at 3 p.m. ET. The Capitals are underdogs away from home, at +105, and the Penguins are -125.

Pittsburgh won 5-2 on the road its last time out on April 9 against the New Jersey Devils. Yegor Chinakhov's three points (one goal and two assists) led the Penguins.

In its last game on April 8, Washington secured a 4-0 road victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Capitals got two points each out of Dylan Strome (one goal and one assist) and Martin Fehervary (one goal and one assist).

Before watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which club we predict will come out on top in Saturday's action on the ice.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Penguins vs. Capitals Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Washington Capitals, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Penguins 4 - Capitals 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.01 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Penguins vs. Capitals Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Penguins-Capitals matchup.

  • Favorite: Penguins (-125)
  • Underdog: Capitals (+105)

Penguins Betting Insights

  • The Penguins have gone 19-14 this season when favored on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh is 15-7 (winning 68.2% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Penguins have a 55.6% chance to win.
  • Pittsburgh's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 44 times.

Capitals Betting Insights

  • This season the Capitals have won 10 of the 26 games, or 38.5%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • This season Washington has won seven of its 18 games, or 38.9%, when it's the underdog by at least +105 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline in this matchup implies a 48.8% chance of victory for the Capitals.
  • Washington has played 32 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh has scored the third-most goals in the NHL (282 total, 3.6 per game).
  • The Penguins have allowed 242 total goals (3.1 per game), ranking 18th in NHL action in goals against.
  • Its +40 goal differential is the fifth-best in the league.
  • The 56 power-play goals the Penguins have put up this season (sixth-most in the NHL) have come on 228 power-play chances.
  • Pittsburgh has the league's sixth-best power-play conversion rate (24.56%).
  • The Penguins have scored six shorthanded goals this season.
  • Pittsburgh has the league's seventh-best penalty-kill percentage (81.82%).
  • Pittsburgh wins 48.2% of its faceoffs (24th in NHL).
  • The Penguins have a 12.4% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks fourth in the league.

Capitals Key Stats

  • With 250 goals (3.2 per game), Washington has the league's 15th-ranked offense.
  • The Capitals' total of 234 goals conceded (3.0 per game) is 10th in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of +16, the team is 12th in the league.
  • With 41 power-play goals (on 235 chances), the Capitals are 23rd in the NHL.
  • Washington scores on 17.45% of its power plays, No. 27 in the league.
  • In terms of shorthanded goals, the Capitals have four.
  • Washington's has the 12th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (79.92%).
  • Washington wins 49.1% of faceoffs, 21st-ranked in the NHL.
  • The Capitals' 11.3% shooting percentage is 13th in the league.

NHL PICKS

Dunkel NBA Prediction cards

Latest NHL Predictions

GET YOUR PICKS

TRADE ANY GAME

About Us

Double your profit for 5 straight days.

START TRADING

MLB PICKS

Dunkel NCAAB Prediction cards

Latest MLB Predictions

Get Your Picks