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Patrick Mahomes vs. Commanders - NFL - Player Props, Lines and Trends

26 October 2025 By Data Skrive

In advance of Monday's game, check out Patrick Mahomes' player prop bet options. He'll hit the field at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN. Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (4-3) meet the Washington Commanders (3-4) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 8.

Keep reading for more Dunkel stats, insights and trends.

Patrick Mahomes Player Props

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
275.5 -111 2.5 +124 21.5 -112 +360

Mahomes Passing Insights

  • Monday's prop bet for Mahomes is 275.5 passing yards, 18.4 more than his average of 257.1 on the year.
  • In seven matchups this season, Mahomes has thrown for over 275.5 yards twice.
  • Mahomes has passed for over his season prop average (250.1 yards) by 7.0 yards per game.
  • So far this year, Mahomes has gone over his passing yards prop total in four of seven opportunities.
  • Mahomes has thrown for a touchdown in all seven games this season, with more than one TD pass three times.
  • Mahomes has been intercepted in two of seven games this season, but it was just one pick in each game.

Mahomes Rushing Insights

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  • Mahomes rushes for 35.7 yards per game this season, which outpaces Monday's prop total of 21.5 yards.
  • Mahomes has put up more than 21.5 yards on the ground in five of seven games so far this season.
  • Mahomes has had an average rushing yards prop bet set at 24.6 this season, which he's outpaced on average by 11.1 yards.
  • In five of seven opportunities this season (71.4%), Mahomes has gone over his rushing yards prop total.
  • Mahomes has hit paydirt on the ground in four games this season.

Washington Commanders Rankings

  • The Commanders give up 238.3 passing yards per game, the NFL's 26th-ranked pass defense this season.
  • The Commanders have the No. 16 defense in the NFL in passing TDs allowed, conceding 12 this season (1.7 per game).
  • With two total interceptions this season, the Commanders' defense ranks 27th in the NFL.

For more expert NFL prop picks and best bets, visit Dunkel Index Best NFL Player Props today.

Last Five Games

Opponent Date Week Passing Stats Rushing Stats
vs. Raiders 10/19/2025 Week 7 26-for-35 / 286 YDS / 3 TDs / 0 INTs 4 ATT / 28 YDS / 0 TDs
vs. Lions 10/12/2025 Week 6 22-for-30 / 257 YDS / 3 TDs / 0 INTs 10 ATT / 32 YDS / 1 TD
vs. Jaguars 10/6/2025 Week 5 29-for-41 / 318 YDS / 1 TD / 1 INT 6 ATT / 60 YDS / 1 TD
vs. Ravens 9/28/2025 Week 4 25-for-37 / 270 YDS / 4 TDs / 0 INTs 4 ATT / 5 YDS / 0 TDs
vs. Giants 9/21/2025 Week 3 22-for-37 / 224 YDS / 1 TD / 0 INTs 5 ATT / 2 YDS / 0 TDs

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