Thunder vs. Warriors Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 7

The Oklahoma City Thunder (49-15) will be looking to continue a three-game home winning streak when hosting the Golden State Warriors (32-30) on March 7, 2026 at Paycom Center.

Oklahoma City is a sizable 14-point favorite against Golden State when the Thunder face off against the Warriors on Saturday. A 219.5-point over/under is set for the game.

Thunder vs. Warriors Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Arena: Paycom Center
• Total: 219.5 points
• Spread: Thunder -14
• Moneyline: Thunder (-769), Warriors (+540)

How to watch Thunder vs. Warriors

• TV Channel: ABC

Betting the Over/Under: Thunder vs. Warriors

• In 42 of 64 games this season, the Thunder and their opponents have combined to total more than 219.5 points.
• The Warriors have played 43 games this season that have gone over 219.5 combined points scored.
• These two teams average 234.2 points per game between them, 14.7 more than this game's point total.
• Opponents of these two teams average 221.9 points per game combined, 2.4 more points than this contest's total.

Betting the Spread: Thunder vs. Warriors

• Oklahoma City has put together a 31-32-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Thunder have covered the spread 10 times this season (10-11 ATS) when playing as at least 14-point favorites.
• The Warriors are 27-34-1 ATS this year.
• The Thunder are 25-7 overall, and 15-17 against the spread, at home.
• As a 14-point favorite or greater at home, Oklahoma City is 9-8 ATS.
• This year on the road, the Warriors are 13-17 against the spread and 13-17 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Thunder vs. Warriors

• The Thunder have been the moneyline favorite 60 total times this season. They've finished 47-13 in those games.
• The Warriors have entered the game as underdogs 21 times this season and won eight, or 38.1%, of those games.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -769 or shorter, Oklahoma City has gone 20-2 (90.9% win percentage).
• Golden State has played as an underdog of +540 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The Thunder have an 88.5% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Thunder vs. Warriors

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 14)
• Pick OU: Over (219.5)
  
• Prediction: Thunder 124 - Warriors 105
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!