Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 12

The Northern Colorado Bears (15-10, 5-7 Big Sky) take on the Sacramento State Hornets (9-14, 5-6 Big Sky) as 7.5-point favorites on Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is set at 164.5.

Last time out, Northern Colorado won on Saturday 69-61 over Idaho State. In Northern Colorado's win, Brock Wisne led the way with a team-high 17 points (adding eight rebounds and one assist). Sacramento State is coming off of a 74-73 loss to Portland State in its most recent game on Saturday. Sacramento State got a team-leading 28 points from Prophet Johnson in the loss.

Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Bank of Colorado Arena in Greeley, Colorado
• Spread favorite: Northern Colorado -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Northern Colorado -342
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State +258
• Over/Under: 164.5 points

How to watch Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State

• Northern Colorado and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's over/under (164.5 points) 10 times this season.
• In Sacramento State's 21 games this season, nine finished with more combined points than Thursday's over/under of 164.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 161.8 points per game, 2.7 points fewer than the point total of 164.5 for this matchup.
• These two teams surrender a combined 159 points per game, 5.5 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Northern Colorado's games is 159.8 points, 4.7 lower than the over/under of 164.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 3.5 points higher than the average over/under in Sacramento State's games this season of 161.0.

Betting the Spread: Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State

• Northern Colorado has 11 wins against the spread in 22 games this season.
• The Bears have been favored by 7.5 points or more three times this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• Sacramento State has played 21 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Hornets have been installed as underdogs by a 7.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 4-6 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this season, Northern Colorado has two wins against the spread and is 4-3 overall.
• At home, Northern Colorado is winless ATS (0-2) as a 7.5-point favorite or more.
• On the road, Sacramento State is 4-8 against the spread, and 0-12 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State

• This season, Northern Colorado has won 11 out of the 17 games, or 64.7%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Bears have entered three games this season favored by -342 or more and are 2-1 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 77.4% chance of a victory for Northern Colorado.
• Sacramento State has come away with three wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Hornets have won all of their 10 games in which they were named as at least a +258 moneyline underdog.
• Sacramento State has an implied victory probability of 27.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.