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Yankees vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - April 11

11 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Yankees bring a three-game losing run into a road matchup versus the Tampa Bay Rays, at 6:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. Max Fried (2-0, 1.35 ERA) will start for the Yankees, who are 8-5 this season and first in the AL East. Nick Martinez (0-0, 2.25 ERA) is expected to start for the Rays, who are 6-7 and third in the AL East.

Even though the Yankees are playing on the road at the Rays, they are currently favored on the moneyline at -192, compared to the home team at +159. The game has an over/under set at 7.5 runs.

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Game time: 6:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field
  • Favorite: Yankees (-192)
  • Underdog: Rays (+159)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Yankees vs. Rays

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Yankees vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Yankees have put together a 7-5 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 58.3% of those games).
  • Tampa Bay has been pegged as an underdog in six games this year and has walked away with the win three times (50%) in those games.
  • This season New York has won two of its five games when favored by at least -192 on the moneyline.
  • This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have given the Rays this season with a +159 moneyline set for this game.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Yankees have an implied win probability of 65.8%.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 38.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Yankees have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 13 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in four of those games (4-7-2).
  • Tampa Bay's games have gone over the total in eight of its 13 chances.
  • The Yankees have covered 61.5% of their games this season, going 8-5-0 ATS.
  • The Rays are 6-7-0 against the spread in their 13 games that had a posted line this season.
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