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Yankees vs. Twins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 5

04 July 2026 By Data Skrive

Two of the league's top sluggers face off when the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins play at Yankee Stadium, at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday. Ben Rice has 24 homers (sixth in league) for the Yankees, and Byron Buxton ranks fifth with 25 dingers for the Twins. Ryan Weathers (3-6, 4.08 ERA) gets the start for the Yankees, who are 49-39 this season and second in the AL East. Joe Ryan (5-5, 3.61 ERA) is expected to start for the Twins, who are 43-47 and third in the AL Central.

At home, the Yankees are favored to win on the moneyline (-134) over the Twins (+111). The contest has an over/under set at 8.5.

Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, July 5, 2026
  • Game time: 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium
  • Favorite: Yankees (-134)
  • Underdog: Twins (+111)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Yankees vs. Twins

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Yankees vs. Twins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Yankees have won 44 of the 78 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (56.4%).
  • Minnesota has been underdogs in 61 games this season and has come away with the win 28 times (45.9%) in those contests.
  • New York has a record of 34-25 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have a win-loss record of 20-20 when favored by +111 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Yankees' implied win probability is 57.3%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Yankees vs. Twins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Yankees have played in 88 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-44-4).
  • So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 90 games with a total.
  • The Yankees have covered 45.5% of their games this season, going 40-48-0 against the spread.
  • In 90 games with a line this season, the Twins have a mark of 48-42-0 against the spread.
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