Yankees vs. Twins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 4

The New York Yankees host the Minnesota Twins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Saturday, featuring two top-10 power hitters. Ben Rice has 24 homers (sixth in league) for the Yankees, and Byron Buxton is fourth with 25 dingers for the Twins. Brendan Beck (0-0, 6.00 ERA) gets the start for the Yankees, who are 49-38 this season and second in the AL East. Zebby Matthews (4-5, 4.15 ERA) is starting for the Twins, who are 42-47 and third in the AL Central.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Yankees (-163) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Twins (+134) at home. The over/under for the Yankees-Twins game is set at 10.

Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Game time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium
• Favorite: Yankees (-163)
• Underdog: Twins (+134)
• Over/under: 10

How to Watch Yankees vs. Twins

• TV Channel: YES and MNNT
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Yankees vs. Twins: Betting the Moneyline

• The Yankees have gone 44-33 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 57.1% of those games).
• Minnesota has come away with 27 wins in the 60 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• New York has a record of 19-12, a 61.3% win rate, when favored by -163 or more by bookmakers this season.
• This season, the Twins have come away with a win seven times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have an implied moneyline win probability of 62% in this game.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 42.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees vs. Twins: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Yankees have had an over/under set by bookmakers 87 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 39 of those games (39-44-4).
• So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 89 games with a total.
• The Yankees have collected a 40-47-0 record ATS this season (covering 46% of the time).
• The Twins have an against the spread record of 47-42-0 in 89 games with a line this season.