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Yankees vs. Orioles Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 25

25 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Yankees host the Baltimore Orioles at 4:05 p.m. ET on Friday, featuring two top-10 sluggers. Ben Rice has 41 home runs (third in league) for the Yankees, while Pete Alonso ranks third with 41 long balls for the Orioles. Brendan Beck (0-1, 8.22 ERA) gets the start for the Yankees, who are 92-67 this season and second in the AL East. Trevor Rogers (10-11, 4.07 ERA) is starting for the Orioles, who are 78-81 and fourth in the AL East.

With the Orioles (+107) visiting, the Yankees (-130) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The total for this contest is 6.5.

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, September 25, 2026
  • Game time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium
  • Favorite: Yankees (-130)
  • Underdog: Orioles (+107)
  • Over/under: 6.5

How to Watch Yankees vs. Orioles

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Yankees vs. Orioles: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Yankees have been the moneyline favorite 129 total times this season. They've finished 77-52 in those games.
  • Baltimore has been pegged as an underdog in 87 games this year and has walked away with the win 38 times (43.7%) in those games.
  • New York has a record of 59-39, a 60.2% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • This year, the Orioles have won 23 of 51 games when listed as at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Yankees have an implied win probability of 56.5%.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Yankees vs. Orioles: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Yankees have played in 159 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-80-5).
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of its 159 games with a total this season.
  • The Yankees have put together an 81-78-0 record ATS this season (covering 50.9% of the time).
  • The Orioles are 84-75-0 against the spread in their 159 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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