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Mets vs. Nationals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 25

25 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Mets visit the Washington Nationals to open a three-game series at Nationals Park, with first pitch at 6:45 p.m. ET on Friday. Andrew Alvarez (2-6, 3.17 ERA) will start for the Nationals, who are 75-84 this season and fourth in the NL East. The Mets, who are 73-86 and fifth in the NL East, have not yet named a starter.

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Mets are favored to win (-137) over the Nationals (+113). The game's total is set at 8.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, September 25, 2026
  • Game time: 6:45 p.m. ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park
  • Favorite: Mets (-137)
  • Underdog: Nationals (+113)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Mets vs. Nationals

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Mets vs. Nationals: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mets have won 45 of the 85 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (52.9%).
  • Washington has won in 52, or 42.6%, of the 122 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • New York is 19-21 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Nationals have been victorious 35 times in 85 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 57.8%.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets vs. Nationals: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mets have played in 159 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-73-12).
  • Washington's games have gone over the total in 83 of its 159 chances.
  • The Mets have collected a 74-85-0 record ATS this season (covering 46.5% of the time).
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 89-70-0 against the spread this season.
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