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Mets vs. Padres Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 17

17 August 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Mets will attempt to keep a three-game win streak alive when they host the San Diego Padres at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday. Nolan McLean (8-8, 3.42 ERA) gets the start for the Mets, who are 56-69 this season and fifth in the NL East. Walker Buehler (7-5, 4.88 ERA) is the expected starter for the Padres, who are 67-58 and second in the NL West.

The Padres (+108) are on the road versus the favored Mets (-123). The total for the Mets-Padres game is set at 8.

Mets vs. Padres Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Monday, August 17, 2026
  • Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field
  • Favorite: Mets (-123)
  • Underdog: Padres (+108)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Mets vs. Padres

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Mets vs. Padres: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mets have gone 38-33 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 53.5% of those games).
  • San Diego has come away with 35 wins in the 70 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • New York has a record of 27-26, a 50.9% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • This year, the Padres have won 17 of 42 games when listed as at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Mets' implied win probability is 55.2%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets vs. Padres: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mets have combined with opponents to go over the total 56 times this season for a 56-60-9 record against the over/under.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of its 125 opportunities.
  • The Mets have put together a 58-67-0 record ATS this season (covering 46.4% of the time).
  • The Padres are 69-56-0 against the spread in their 125 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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