Mets vs. Pirates Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - March 28

Brandon Lowe leads the Pittsburgh Pirates into a matchup against the New York Mets, following his two-homer showing in an 11-7 defeat to the Mets, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. David Peterson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) gets the start for the Mets, who are 1-0 this season and third in the NL East. Mitch Keller (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is expected to start for the Pirates, who are 0-1 and fifth in the NL Central.

The Pirates (+148) are on the road versus the favored Mets (-178). The game has an over/under set at 7.5 runs.

Mets vs. Pirates Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, March 28, 2026
• Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field
• Favorite: Mets (-178)
• Underdog: Pirates (+148)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Mets vs. Pirates

• TV Channel: SNY and Sportsnet PT
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Mets vs. Pirates: Betting the Moneyline

• The Mets finished with a 64-51 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 55.7% of those games).
• Pittsburgh came away with 48 wins in the 114 contests it was listed as the underdogs in last season.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -178 or shorter last year, New York had a record of 24-14 (63.2%).
• Last season, Pittsburgh came away with a win eight times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 64% in this matchup.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets vs. Pirates: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Mets combined with their opponents to go over the total 76 times last season for a 76-78-8 record against the over/under.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 64 of its 161 games with a total last season.
• The Mets finished 74-88-0 against the spread last season.
• In 161 games with a line last season, the Pirates had a mark of 88-73-0 against the spread.