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Mets vs. Pirates Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - March 26

25 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates begin the season versus the New York Mets on Thursday at Citi Field. The matchup starts at 1:15 p.m. ET. Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Mets, and Paul Skenes is the expected starter for the Pirates.

With the Pirates (+103) visiting, the Mets (-121) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The contest has a total set at 7.

Mets vs. Pirates Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, March 26, 2026
  • Game time: 1:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field
  • Favorite: Mets (-121)
  • Underdog: Pirates (+103)
  • Over/under: 7

How to Watch Mets vs. Pirates

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Mets vs. Pirates: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mets went 64-51 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 55.7% of those games).
  • Pittsburgh won in 48, or 42.1%, of the 114 contests it was named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
  • New York had a record of 56-47 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -121 or shorter last year (54.4%).
  • Last year, Pittsburgh won 41 of 98 games when listed as at least +103 on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have a 54.8% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets vs. Pirates: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mets played in 162 games with an over/under set, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-78-8).
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 64 of its 161 games with a total last season.
  • The Mets went 74-88-0 against the spread last season.
  • In 161 games with a line last season, the Pirates had a mark of 88-73-0 against the spread.
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