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Mets vs. Royals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 9

09 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Mets will look for another strong showing from a batter on a hot streak versus the Kansas City Royals on Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET, at Citi Field. A.J. Ewing is currently on a two-game homer streak. Sean Manaea (1-4, 5.16 ERA) gets the start for the Mets, who are 39-54 this season and fifth in the NL East. Michael Wacha (5-6, 3.45 ERA) is starting for the Royals, who are 38-55 and fifth in the AL Central.

With the Royals (+119) visiting, the Mets (-145) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game has an over/under of 9 runs.

Mets vs. Royals Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, July 9, 2026
  • Game time: 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field
  • Favorite: Mets (-145)
  • Underdog: Royals (+119)
  • Over/under: 9

How to Watch Mets vs. Royals

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Mets vs. Royals: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mets are 31-29 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 51.7% of those games).
  • Kansas City has come away with 22 wins in the 59 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • New York is 11-13 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Royals have come away with a win six times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 59.2%.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets vs. Royals: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mets have played in 93 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-42-8).
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of its 93 games with a total this season.
  • The Mets have put together a 40-53-0 record ATS this season (covering 43% of the time).
  • The Royals have posted a record of 41-52-0 against the spread this season.
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