Mets vs. Guardians Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 4

The New York Mets will look to Mark Vientos, on an 11-game hitting streak, versus the Cleveland Guardians at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, at Citi Field. Sean Manaea (1-1, 2.08 ERA) will start for the Mets, who are 63-49 this season and second in the NL East. Slade Cecconi (5-4, 3.77 ERA) is starting for the Guardians, who are 56-55 and second in the AL Central.

With the Guardians (+162) visiting, the Mets (-196) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The over/under in this contest is set at 8.

Mets vs. Guardians Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Monday, August 4, 2025
• Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field
• Favorite: Mets (-196)
• Underdog: Guardians (+162)
• Over/under: 8

How to Watch Mets vs. Guardians

• TV Channel: Cleveland Guardians (NEW)
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Mets vs. Guardians: Betting the Moneyline

• The Mets have won 63.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (50-29).
• Cleveland has won in 26, or 41.9%, of the 62 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• New York has a record of 16-3, a 84.2% win rate, when favored by -196 or more by bookmakers this season.
• This season, the Guardians have come away with a win two times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +162 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 66.2% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 38.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets vs. Guardians: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 112 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Mets, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 49 times (49-58-5).
• Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of its 109 opportunities.
• The Mets have gone 53-59-0 against the spread this season.
• The Guardians are 54-55-0 against the spread in their 109 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.