Mets vs. Red Sox Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 12

The Boston Red Sox ride an eight-game win streak into a home contest versus the New York Mets, at 1:40 p.m. ET on Sunday. Zach Thornton (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will start for the Mets, who are 40-56 this season and fifth in the NL East. Payton Tolle (5-6, 3.14 ERA) is expected to start for the Red Sox, who are 45-48 and third in the AL East.

Per the moneyline, the matchup between the Mets (-111) and Red Sox (-110) looks like a close one. The over/under for the Mets-Red Sox game is set at 8.

Mets vs. Red Sox Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, July 12, 2026
• Game time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field
• Favorite: Mets (-111)
• Underdog: Red Sox (-110)
• Over/under: 8

How to Watch Mets vs. Red Sox

• TV Channel: WPIX and NESN
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Mets vs. Red Sox: Betting the Moneyline

• The Mets have put together a 32-31 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50.8% of those games).
• Boston has won in 19, or 52.8%, of the 36 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• New York has a record of 32-30, a 51.6% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Red Sox have a mark of 19-18 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -110 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Mets' implied win probability is 52.6%.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 52.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mets vs. Red Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Mets have had an over/under set by bookmakers 96 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 45 of those games (45-43-8).
• So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of its 93 games with a total.
• The Mets have put together a 41-55-0 record ATS this season (covering 42.7% of the time).
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 44-49-0 against the spread this season.