Mets vs. Red Sox Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 11

The Boston Red Sox will aim to keep a seven-game winning streak going when they visit the New York Mets at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.68 ERA) gets the start for the Mets, who are 40-55 this season and fifth in the NL East. Eduardo Rivera (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is starting for the Red Sox, who are 44-48 and fourth in the AL East.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Mets (-158) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Red Sox (+129) at home. The game's total is set at 8.

Mets vs. Red Sox Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field
• Favorite: Mets (-158)
• Underdog: Red Sox (+129)
• Over/under: 8

How to Watch Mets vs. Red Sox

• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1, SNY and NESN
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Mets vs. Red Sox: Betting the Moneyline

• The Mets have won 32 of the 62 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (51.6%).
• Boston has been underdogs in 35 games this season and has come away with the win 18 times (51.4%) in those contests.
• New York has entered 17 games this season favored by -158 or more and is 6-11 in those contests.
• The Red Sox have played as an underdog of +129 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Mets a 61.2% chance to win.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mets vs. Red Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Mets have played in 95 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-42-8).
• Boston's games have gone over the total in 41 of its 92 chances.
• The Mets have collected a 41-54-0 record ATS this season (covering 43.2% of the time).
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 43-49-0 against the spread this season.