Mets vs. Red Sox Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 10

The New York Mets and Boston Red Sox square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Citi Field, at 7:15 p.m. ET. Nolan McLean (6-5, 3.73 ERA) will start for the Mets, who are 40-54 this season and fifth in the NL East. Sonny Gray (10-1, 2.61 ERA) is expected to start for the Red Sox, who are 43-48 and fourth in the AL East.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Mets (-137) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Red Sox (+113) at home. The game's total is 7.5.

Mets vs. Red Sox Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Friday, July 10, 2026
• Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field
• Favorite: Mets (-137)
• Underdog: Red Sox (+113)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Mets vs. Red Sox

• TV Channel: Apple TV+
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Mets vs. Red Sox: Betting the Moneyline

• The Mets have won 52.5% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (32-29).
• Boston has been victorious in 17, or 50%, of the 34 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• New York has a record of 14-17 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -137 on the moneyline.
• This season, the Red Sox have been victorious five times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 57.8% in this game.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mets vs. Red Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 94 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Mets, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-42-8).
• Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 40 of 91 chances this season.
• The Mets have covered 43.6% of their games this season, going 41-53-0 against the spread.
• The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 42-49-0 in 91 games with a line this season.