Saints vs. Falcons Week 4 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The New Orleans Saints (1-2) are small favorites (-1.5) against the Atlanta Falcons (1-2) in a matchup of two division rivals. The expected point total for the game is 48.5.

The Saints have the 10th-ranked scoring offense this year (27.0 points per game), and they've been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-worst with 27.7 points allowed per game. In terms of total yards, the Falcons rank 15th in the NFL (340.7 total yards per game) and eighth defensively (310.7 total yards allowed per contest).

Saints vs. Falcons Odds and Game Time

• Date: Monday, October 5, 2026
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• City: New Orleans, Louisiana
• Venue: Caesars Superdome
• Total: 48.5 points
• Spread: Saints -1.5
• Moneyline: Saints (-122), Falcons (+102)

How to watch Saints vs. Falcons

• TV Channel: ESPN

Betting the Over/Under: Saints vs. Falcons

• Saints games have had a combined total of more than 48.5 points twice this season (in three outings).
• So far this season, two New Orleans games have gone over the point total.
• The Falcons have played just one game this season that finished with a combined score higher than 48.5 points.
• So far this season, one Atlanta game has gone over the point total.
• These two teams rack up a combined 44 points per game, 4.5 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• These two teams give up 50.4 points per game combined, 1.9 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Saints vs. Falcons

• New Orleans has covered twice in three games with a spread this season.
• New Orleans has been favored by 1.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
• The Falcons have covered once in three games against the spread this season.
• Atlanta has covered the spread once when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year (in three opportunities).

Betting the Moneyline: Saints vs. Falcons

• New Orleans has been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they lost.
• The Falcons have won one of the three games they've played as underdogs this season.
• New Orleans has played as a moneyline favorite of -122 or shorter in only one game this season, which it lost.
• This season, Atlanta has won one of its three games when it is the underdog by at least +102 on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Saints a 55.0% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Saints vs. Falcons

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