New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 15

The New Mexico Lobos (3-0) visit the New Mexico State Aggies (2-0) at Pan American Center, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The Aggies are 3-point underdogs in the game. The over/under in the matchup is set at 139.5.

New Mexico took care of business in its most recent matchup 82-68 against UC Riverside on Tuesday. In New Mexico's win, Chris Howell led the way with a team-high 15 points (adding four rebounds and five assists). New Mexico State's most recent game on Tuesday ended in a 74-58 win against New Mexico Highlands. In New Mexico State's win, Jemel Jones led the way with 24 points (adding two rebounds and three assists).

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Pan American Center in Las Cruces, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico -3
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico -192
• Moneyline underdog: New Mexico State +158
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch New Mexico vs. New Mexico State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico vs. New Mexico State

• New Mexico's games finished over 139.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, 25 times (out of 34) last season.
• Last season, 11 of New Mexico State's 29 games had a combined total of more than 139.5 points scored.
• These two teams averaged a combined 150.2 points per game a season ago, 10.7 more points than the total of 139.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 3.0 fewer points per game (136.5) last season than this game's over/under of 139.5 points.
• The average point total in New Mexico's games last year was 11.7 more points than the total of 139.5 in this matchup.
• The average point total for New Mexico State in 2024 was 3.9 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: New Mexico vs. New Mexico State

• New Mexico covered 16 times in 34 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Lobos had an ATS record of 11-13 when playing as at least 3-point favorites last season.
• New Mexico State put together a 13-16-0 ATS record last season.
• When playing as at least 3-point underdogs last year, the Aggies had an ATS record of 7-5.
• New Mexico State was 4-8 against the spread, and 6-6 overall, at home last year.
• At home last year, New Mexico State had two wins ATS (2-4) as a 3-point underdog or more.
• On the road last season, New Mexico was 7-4 overall and 5-6 against the spread.
• On the road, New Mexico had two wins ATS (2-3) as a 3-point favorite or more.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico vs. New Mexico State

• New Mexico won 84.6% of the games last season in which it was the moneyline favorite (22-4).
• The Lobos had a 17-2 record last year (winning 89.5% of their games) when they played as a moneyline favorite of -192 or shorter.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, New Mexico's implied win probability is 65.8%.
• New Mexico State was an underdog 15 times last season and won seven, or 46.7%, of those games.
• The Aggies had a record of 5-4, a 55.6% win rate, when they were set as an underdog of +158 or more by oddsmakers last season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 38.8% chance of a victory for New Mexico State.